Sunrise Wind

Located ~48 km east of Montauk Point, Long Island NY. 84 monopiles fabricated at Sif/Smulders Netherlands.

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2027
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈97% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record, its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
2027 (expected)86.7%
202813.3%
Developer COD guidance, by the date it was stated
StatedAnnounced COD
2019-07-182024
2022-09-122025
2024-03-262026 (held since 2024-02-29, 2 statements)
2026-052027-H2 (held since 2025-Q1, 3 statements)
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2024. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2027; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2026, the slower quarter not until 2027 Q3.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2027, likely range 2026–2028 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈97%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2014’15’16’17’18’19’20’21’22’23’24’25’26’27BOEM Lease Sale 2 — awarded to Deepwater Wind New England, LLCBOEM Lease Sale 2 Jul 2013 · auction recordView the source for Final investment decisionFinal investment decision Mar 2024 View the sources for Consent grantedConsent granted Jun 2024 View the sources for Onshore constructionOnshore construction 2024 View the sources for Offshore constructionOffshore construction 2025-Q1 Commercial operation 2027 ·Hafrok expectedBOEM Lease Sale 2 — awarded to Deepwater Wind New England, LLC 2013-07 ORIGINATIONØrsted, Eversource — stake not disclosed · closed 2019-Q2 2019-02 JV FORMATIONEversource → Ørsted — 50.0% · €581m · closed 2023-09 2023-05 Eversource → Ørsted — 50.0% · €141m · closed 2024-07 2024-04 DIVESTMENTTODAYDeepwater Wind New England, LLC Deepwater Wind New Engl… Deepwater Wind New Engl… exited 2013-07Ørsted — 100% today · operator Ørsted Ørsted 100%Eversource Eversource Eversource exited 2024-04BOEM Lease Sale 2 — awarded to Deepwater Wind New England, LLC Ørsted, Eversource — stake not disclosed · closed 2019-Q2 Eversource → Ørsted — 50.0% · €581m · closed 2023-09 50%Eversource → Ørsted — 50.0% · €141m · closed 2024-07 50%
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +3.2 yr (first announced 2024) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day

1,848 MW contracted — OREC
OREC · NYSERDA Offshore Wind Solicitation 1 (ORECRFP18-1) terminated
Price$83.36/MWh ·Capacity924 MWAwardedOct 2019
OREC · NYSERDA Fourth (Expedited) Offshore Wind Solicitation (2024)
Price$150.15/MWh ·Capacity924 MWAwardedFeb 2024

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Satellite installation tracker
counted from satellite radar images · a structure standing in the sea on a given date, not a turbine producing power · a guide, not a sourced fact
Installation · counted from satellite
Foundations10 of 8412% · first seen 2025-07-24
Turbines1 of 841% · first seen 2026-04-26
Latest count2026-08-19from 69 satellite passes · 1 substation platform left out so the counts compare with the turbine number · anything first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed
Hafrok counts foundations and turbines from satellite radar images (≈): a structure is counted once it is seen standing in the sea, which is not the same as producing power. A structure first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed, because on a single image a freshly set foundation and a ship holding position look alike. Substation platforms are left out so the counts compare with the number of turbines. Rows marked with a dot (·) come from Hafrok’s own registers; a supplier or contract appears only where a source states it — everything else reads “not recorded”, never guessed.
Structures standing over time · count
strong line = confirmed · light line = seen in the last 60 days, not yet confirmed · the chart counts every structure (84 turbines + 1 platform); the table counts turbines only
foundationsturbines up (a substation top being set in place counts here too)
2040608085 planned (turbines and platforms)latest count 2026-08-19foundations — running total, confirmedfoundations — running total, seen in the last 60 days and not yet confirmedJul 2025 — 2 this month · 2 in totalAug 2025 — 4 this month · 6 in totalSep 2025 — 2 this month · 8 in totalOct 2025 — 2 this month · 10 in totalApr 2026 — 0 this month · 10 in totalAug 2026 — 1 this month · 11 in totalturbines up — running total, confirmedturbines up — running total, seen in the last 60 days and not yet confirmedJul 2025 — 0 this month · 0 in totalAug 2025 — 0 this month · 0 in totalSep 2025 — 0 this month · 0 in totalOct 2025 — 0 this month · 0 in totalApr 2026 — 2 this month · 2 in totalAug 2026 — 0 this month · 2 in total11 foundations2 turbines upJul 2025Aug 2025Sep 2025Oct 2025Apr 2026Aug 2026Wind Scylla · Turbines
Satellite image
Image taken2026-08-19Copernicus Sentinel-1 radar satellite, northbound pass · 8 newer passes skipped because the satellite’s track only caught part of the farm (the best of them 90%)
Farm covered100%the whole farm lies inside the image
Structures ringed11 confirmed · 0 not yet confirmedas counted on 2026-08-19
Construction ports
PortState Pier turbines
PortPort of Coeymans assembly
Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA and by Microsoft Planetary Computer.
Latest satellite radar image · 2026-08-19
a radar picture, not a photograph: the sea is dark, steel is bright · black is beyond the edge of the image
confirmed structure (11)seen recently, not yet confirmed (0)probably a substation platform (a larger structure than a turbine; the register above has the facts)farm boundary
Satellite radar image over Sunrise Wind, 2026-08-19
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
Offshore substationSunrise Wind Offshore Converter Station (OCS-DC)·under construction · owner Sunrise Wind, LLC (Ørsted)
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
Hafrok expects the farm to start in 2027developer’s stated start 2027-H2nowSunrise Wind Offshore Converter Station (OCS-DC)Sunrise Wind Offshore Converter S…platform installed 2025-Q3platform installed 2025-Q3

Sources & verification

13/17 fields verified · rests on 23 sources (23 primary) · ◆ 17 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator2
[12]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2024-06◆ Sunrise Wind | Bureau of Ocean Energy Ma…
“Lease Number OCS-A 0487. Capacity 924 megawatts. Up to 84 wind turbine generators. Located approximately 16.4 nautical miles south of Martha's Vineyard, MA; approximately 26.5 nautical miles east of M…”
supportsConsentTurbinesTotal capacityConsent granted
[30]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2026-08-23◆ US BOEM offshore-wind register (FR docum…
“Lease row OCS-A 0487: companies ['Sunrise Wind, LLC']; lease_dates ['10/01/2013']; lease_terms ['25 Years']; states ['New York', 'Rhode Island / Massachusetts']; block_count 163.”
supportsRegister entry
Operator13
[1]
Ørsted A/S2024-03◆ Sunrise Wind receives federal record of …
“Sunrise Wind today received its Record of Decision (RoD) from the US Department of the Interior's Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), crossing a critical milestone in the federal environmental r…”
supportsFinal investment decisionTotal capacityDistance from shore
[2]
Ørsted A/S2024-06◆ Sunrise Wind receives final approval fro…
“Sunrise Wind, New York's largest offshore wind project, has received approval of its construction and operations plan (COP) from the US Department of the Interior's Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (…”
supportsConsentTotal capacityConsent granted
[3]
Ørsted A/S2024-02◆ Sunrise Wind selected for award in New Y…
“New York's energy agency, NYSERDA, has conditionally awarded Ørsted and Eversource's Sunrise Wind project the right to negotiate a 25-year offshore wind renewable energy certificate (OREC) agreement f…”
supportsTotal capacity
[4]
Ørsted A/S2024-01◆ Ørsted to acquire full ownership of Sunr…
“Ørsted has signed an agreement with Eversource to acquire Eversource's 50 % share of Sunrise Wind, a 924 MW offshore wind farm which would deliver power to New York. The acquisition is subject to the …”
supportsTotal capacity
[5]
Ørsted A/S2025-12◆ Revolution Wind and Sunrise Wind receive…
“On 22 December 2025, Revolution Wind LLC, a 50/50 joint venture with Global Infrastructure Partners' Skyborn Renewables, and Sunrise Wind LLC, a fully-owned subsidiary, received orders from the U.S. D…”
supportsBackground
[6]
Ørsted A/S2026-01◆ Sunrise Wind LLC to file Preliminary Inj…
“Today, Sunrise Wind LLC ("Sunrise Wind"), a wholly owned subsidiary of Ørsted, will file a complaint in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, challenging the lease suspension order iss…”
supportsTurbinesFoundationStatusConnection point
[7]
Ørsted A/S2026-02◆ Ørsted Annual Report 2025
“Sunrise Wind is ~45 % complete, with more than half of the foundations installed, and commissioning is planned for H2 2027. Commercial operation date: H2 2027. Resumed offshore activities following gr…”
supportsBackground
[8]
Ørsted A/S2025-02◆ Ørsted Annual Report 2024
“We took final investment decisions for the offshore wind farm Sunrise Wind (924 MW). In July, we completed the acquisition of Eversource's 50 % interest in Sunrise Wind, which was owned jointly by Ørs…”
supportsoperatorTotal capacity
[9]
Ørsted A/S2026-05◆ Ørsted IR presentation Q1 2026
“Sunrise Wind. Location US. Capacity 924 MW. Offtake contract: Nominal offtake with state of New York. Commercial operation date H2 2027. Degree of completion ~47 %, up from 45 % in January 2026. The p…”
supportsCommercial operationCOD historyTotal capacity
[10]
Ørsted A/S2026-05◆ Ørsted Q1 2026 earnings call transcript
“Turning now to slide 9 and an update on the progress at Sunrise Wind. During the quarter, the project has continued to make progress and achieved an important milestone as the first turbines have succ…”
supportsTurbines
[11]
Ørsted A/S (via energy-pedia.com)2024-07
“Further to our announcement from 24 January 2024 and following the successful award of Sunrise Wind in the New York 4 solicitation, Ørsted today closes the acquisition of Eversource's 50 % share of Su…”
supportsMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[14]
Connecticut Port Authority2024
“Sunrise Wind is already scheduled to be delivered from the completed State Pier Terminal facility. The facility is used for staging and assembly of offshore wind turbines for multiple projects includi…”
supportsturbines
[27]
Ørsted2026-Q2◆ Orsted — orsted q2 2026 ir presentation
"Commercial operation date H2 2027" ... "Degree of completion ~50 %, up from 47 % in Q1 2026" ... "The project continues work towards commissioning of first turbines later this year and commercial op…
supportsBackground
OEM1
[13]
EVWIND (reporting Siemens Gamesa press release)2022-09
“Siemens Gamesa confirmed a firm order to supply 84 SG 11.0-200 DD offshore wind turbines for the 924 MW Sunrise Wind offshore wind project developed by Ørsted and Eversource off Montauk Point, New Yor…”
supportsTurbinesModelUnit capacity
Auction results2
[31]
New York PSC2026-06-22◆ us-nyserda-sol1-2019-nypsc-repricing
NY PSC denies OREC inflation-adjustment petitions (Oct 2023): the contracts had no reopener
supportsOREC · NYSERDA Offshore Wind Solicitation 1 (ORECRFP18-1)
[32]
NY Dept of Public Service2018◆ us-ny-psc-order-18e0071
NY PSC Order, Case 18-E-0071 - establishes the Offshore Wind Standard and the OREC mechanism.
supportsOREC · NYSERDA Fourth (Expedited) Offshore Wind Solicitation (2024)
Record source1
[33]
offshore-energy.biz / offshoreWIND.biz2026-04-17◆ oe-sunrise-first-turbine-2026-04
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsWind Scylla — turbine installation
Trade press4
[15]
Offshore Wind (offshorewind.biz)2024-09
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore constructionassembly
[16]
Global Energy Monitor2026-07-02
supportsCoordinates
[17]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[19]
Ørsted2025-05-07◆ Orsted — interim financial report q1 202…
“our Sunrise Wind project, offshore installation commenced in Q1 2025 and the degree of completion is now at approx. 35 %.”
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore construction