New England Aqua Ventus I

New England Aqua Ventus I (Maine, Monhegan state waters), floating pilot; UMaine + Cianbro; DOE grant halted 2025.

Status

On Holdlifecycle stage

FragileHafrok completion outlook

Ownership

NENew England Aqua Ventus — 100% ◇

Location

United States

Northwest Atlantic

Verification

0/12 fields verified

5 sources

≈modelled◇sourced∅no source·derived

open the source register →

Technology

Capacity 11 MW ◇ Turbines 1 ◇ Foundation Floating ◇

Site & conditions

Site rights Not established we have not found a document granting or refusing rights over this seabed — a gap in our research, not a finding about the project ∅

Water depth 89–97 m ≈ Distance from shore 19.3 km ◇ Wind speed 9.7 m/s @ 150 m ≈

Revenue & grid

Offtake —

Grid —

Schedule

FID Not taken

COD · Hafrok —

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

—

on hold — no credible date; the chart shows when a restarted project might complete

Chance of delivery

≈6% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation

Projects put on hold complete ≈15% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits well below that: a market with a thinner delivery record, technical complexity and no offtake contract yet. Only a restart would change that — there is no dated schedule to judge against. That figure is then halved while Hafrok reads the United States route as closed: a route that has to be won again is less likely to be won.

COD outlook

If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)

COD probability by year, conditional on completion
Year	Probability
2033	20.0%
2034	20.0%
2035	20.0%
2036	20.0%
2037	20.0%

How Hafrok got this date

On hold — no dated schedule

The project is recorded as On Hold, so no sequence of milestones can be trusted. Hafrok publishes no expected year; the chart instead spreads the remaining chance of completion over the years a restarted project might finish in.

Route closed until 2029

Hafrok believes a held project in the United States is unlikely to resume before a route to build exists again, and does not expect one before January 2029. On that reading the years the chart spreads the remaining chance over begin after 2029, not after today. This is Hafrok's judgment, not a fact on the record — what it rests on: United States market page.

Chance of delivery — separate from timing

Start from the share of On Hold projects that went on to complete — ≈15%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Historically only a minority of projects put on hold returned to delivery — the estimate reflects that. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — and halve the result while Hafrok reads the United States route as closed (a route that has to be won again is less likely to be won) — to ≈6%, which rates it Fragile on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).