Beacon Wind 1

Lease area OCS-A 0520, ~128,000 acres, ~32 km southwest of Nantucket and ~97 km east of Montauk Point. BW1 grid connection to Queens, NY; BW2 to CT or NY.

Status
On Holdlifecycle stage
FragileHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
JNJERA Nex bp — 100% 
Location
United States
Northwest Atlantic
Technology
Capacity 1,230 MW 
Turbines
Foundation
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held 
Origination BOEM Massachusetts Lease Sale (ATLW-4A) · 2018 ·
Water depth 39–61 m  Distance from shore 97 km  Wind speed 10.2 m/s @ 150 m 
Revenue & grid
Offtake
Grid
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · Hafrok

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

on hold — no credible date; the chart shows when a restarted project might complete
Chance of delivery
≈6% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Projects put on hold complete ≈15% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits well below that: a market with a thinner delivery record, its size, technical complexity and no offtake contract yet. Only a restart would change that — there is no dated schedule to judge against. That figure is then halved while Hafrok reads the United States route as closed: a route that has to be won again is less likely to be won.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2033: 20.0% (conditional on completion) 2034: 20.0% (conditional on completion) 2035: 20.0% (conditional on completion) 2036: 20.0% (conditional on completion) 2037: 20.0% (conditional on completion)2026now20272028202920302031203220332034203520362037
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
203320.0%
203420.0%
203520.0%
203620.0%
203720.0%
How Hafrok got this date
1
On hold — no dated schedule
The project is recorded as On Hold, so no sequence of milestones can be trusted. Hafrok publishes no expected year; the chart instead spreads the remaining chance of completion over the years a restarted project might finish in.
2
Route closed until 2029
Hafrok believes a held project in the United States is unlikely to resume before a route to build exists again, and does not expect one before January 2029. On that reading the years the chart spreads the remaining chance over begin after 2029, not after today. This is Hafrok's judgment, not a fact on the record — what it rests on: United States market page.
3
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of On Hold projects that went on to complete — ≈15%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Historically only a minority of projects put on hold returned to delivery — the estimate reflects that. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — and halve the result while Hafrok reads the United States route as closed (a route that has to be won again is less likely to be won) — to ≈6%, which rates it Fragile on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2019’20’21’22’23’24’25’26BOEM Massachusetts Lease Sale (ATLW-4A) — awarded to Equinor Wind US, LLCBOEM Massachusetts Lease Sale (ATLW-4A) Dec 2018 · auction recordView the source for Consent appliedConsent applied 30 Jun 2023 BOEM Massachusetts Lease Sale (ATLW-4A) — awarded to Equinor Wind US, LLC 2018-12 ORIGINATIONEquinor → BP — 50.0% · closed 2021-Q1 2020-09 FARMDOWNEquinor → BP — 50.0% · closed 2024-04 2024-01 BP, JERA — stake not disclosed · closed 2025-08 2024-12 JV FORMATIONJERA Nex bp → None — 100.0% 2025-10 CANCELLATIONTODAYEquinor Wind US, LLC Equinor Equinor exited 2024-01BP BP BP exited 2024-12JERA Nex bp — 100% today · operator JERA JERA 100%BOEM Massachusetts Lease Sale (ATLW-4A) — awarded to Equinor Wind US, LLC Equinor → BP — 50.0% · closed 2021-Q1 50%Equinor → BP — 50.0% · closed 2024-04 50%BP, JERA — stake not disclosed · closed 2025-08
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Revenue & offtake route to market — open

No offtake secured — route to market open

OREC · NYSERDA Offshore Wind Solicitation 2 (ORECRFP20-1) awarded 2021-01, terminated. No live offtake on record.

The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
NYSERDA Offshore Wind Solicitation 6 (NY6)
expected 2027 · planned · the round’s published documents do not name this project
design/RFI stage only; no timetable, conditioned on the federal market improving

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageOn Hold
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operationnot stated

Sources & verification

3/11 fields verified · rests on 10 sources (4 primary) · ◆ 5 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[8]
BOEM2023
supportsTotal capacityDistance from shore
[9]
Northeast Ocean Data (BOEM lease OCS-A 0520 polygon)2025
supportsCoordinates
[13]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2026-08-23◆ US BOEM offshore-wind register (FR docum…
“Consistent with the regulations implementing the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), BOEM announces its intent to prepare an EIS for a construction and operations plan (COP) submitted by Beacon …”
supportsConsentConsent applied
Operator1
[14]
JERA Co., Inc.2025-08-04
"JERA and bp have completed the formation of JERA Nex bp, a new standalone, equally owned joint venture," with the transaction completed on August 1, 2025. The JV is "50:50-owned" by JERA and bp.
supports↳ parent
Auction results1
[15]
New York PSC2026-06-22◆ us-nyserda-sol2-2021-nypsc-repricing
NY PSC denies OREC inflation-adjustment petitions (Oct 2023): the contracts had no reopener
supportsOfftake history
Auction pipeline1
[16]
Offshore Wind (offshorewind.biz)2026-02◆ ny-ny5-ended-2026
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsNYSERDA Offshore Wind Solicitation 6 (NY6)
Trade press3
[7]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-10◆ document
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsoperator
[10]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[11]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown◆ document
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityWater depthDistance from shoreCoordinates