East Anglia TWO
Part of the East Anglia Hub. Located approximately 37.3km from Lowestoft and 32.6km from the nearest coast (Southwold), North Sea.
Status
Under Constructionlifecycle stage
DeliveringHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
ScottishPower Renewables — 100% ◆Location
United KingdomNorth Sea
Technology
Capacity
960 MW ◆
Turbines
64 × 14.7 MW ◆
Model
Siemens Gamesa SG 14-236 DD ◆
Foundation
Monopile ◆
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held ∴
Origination
Crown Estate Round 3 · 2010 ·
Water depth
33–67 m ◆
Distance from shore
37.5 km ◆
Wind speed
9.9 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
CfD · AR6 · £58.87/MWh ◆
Grid
Secured · 2025-04 ◆
Connection
East Anglia TWO offshore substation (EPCIC: HSM Offshore … ◆
Schedule
FID
Taken · date not recorded ∴
COD · announced
2028 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2028 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2028
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2027 | 3.9% |
| 2028 (expected) | 50.2% |
| 2029 | 29.5% |
| 2030 | 10.6% |
| 2031 | 3.8% |
| 2032 | 1.4% |
| 2033 | 0.6% |
| Stated | Announced COD |
|---|---|
| 2024-09-03 | 2029 |
| 2024-12-09 | 2028 |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in
2022. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2026; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2024, the slower quarter not until 2027.3
Result
Expected commercial operation
2028, likely range 2024–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it
Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
Origination · 2010-01
Crown Estate Round 3
- Awarded to
- East Anglia Offshore Wind Ltd (ScottishPower Renewables + Vattenfall)
- Zone
- Norfolk Bank (East Anglia) zone
- Basis
- seabed award
From the auction results — the round that created the project.
Farmdown · 2025-10
ScottishPower Renewables (Iberdrola) 49%
- Stake
- 49%
- Consideration
- not disclosed
- Announced
- 2025-10
- Project stage
- pre-FID
In October 2025, Iberdrola was reported to be exploring the sale of a 49% stake in East Anglia TWO, with Bank of America and BBVA retained as financial advisers. The project is valued at approximately EUR 5bn (whole project). No buyer has been announced as of Feb 2026. Construction expected to begin 2026/2027 for operations in 2028. Consistent with no deal closed as of Feb 2026; no buyer, no price.
Evidence
- offshoreWIND.biz — Iberdrola Looking to Sell 49 Pct Stake in UK Offshore Wind Farm - Report ↗ 2025-10 ◆ held
From Hafrok’s transactions record
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: pulled forward -1.0 yr (first announced 2029) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above
Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day
CfD-backed offtake
● CfD · AR6
Price£58.87/MWh ·Basis2012 real · CPI-indexed
Capacity963.07 MWAwardedSep 2024Term15 yrs · delivery 2028/29
Money-of-the-day values computed by Hafrok from the United Kingdom CPI index, 2012 real base — actual to 2026-07, then an assumed +2.0%/yr (central-bank target). Cfd terms run 15 years from start of generation in the contracted delivery year.
Contract price over time · £/MWh
solid = actual CPI indexation · dashed = assumed +2.0%/yr
CfD · AR6
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Satellite installation tracker
counted from satellite radar images · a structure standing in the sea on a given date, not a turbine producing power · a guide, not a sourced fact
Installation · counted from satellite
Foundations0 of 64≈0% · first seen —
Turbinesnone yet≈0 of 64
Latest count2026-08-30from 382 satellite passes · 1 substation platform left out so the counts compare with the turbine number · anything first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed
Hafrok counts foundations and turbines from satellite radar images (≈): a structure is counted once it is seen standing in the sea, which is not the same as producing power. A structure first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed, because on a single image a freshly set foundation and a ship holding position look alike. Substation platforms are left out so the counts compare with the number of turbines. Rows marked with a dot (·) come from Hafrok’s own registers; a supplier or contract appears only where a source states it — everything else reads “not recorded”, never guessed.
Satellite image
Image taken2026-09-05≈Copernicus Sentinel-1 radar satellite, southbound pass · 2 newer passes skipped because the satellite’s track only caught part of the farm (the best of them 78%)
Farm covered100%≈the whole farm lies inside the image
Structures ringed0 confirmed · 0 not yet confirmed≈as counted on 2026-08-30 · the image is newer than the count, so a bright spot without a ring may be a structure not yet counted
Construction ports
PortGreat Yarmouth (Peel Ports / Port of East Anglia) ◆turbine preassembly
PortABP Lowestoft ◆om base
Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA and by Microsoft Planetary Computer.
Latest satellite radar image · 2026-09-05
a radar picture, not a photograph: the sea is dark, steel is bright · black is beyond the edge of the image
confirmed structure (0)seen recently, not yet confirmed (0)probably a substation platform (a larger structure than a turbine; the register above has the facts)farm boundary
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
Offshore substationEast Anglia TWO offshore substation·under construction · owner East Anglia TWO Limited (ScottishPower Renewables / Iberdrola)
Export & onshore
Onshore connectionFriston Substation (Sea Link connection)·400 kV · planning · also serves East Anglia ONE North
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
Sources & verification
16/19 fields verified · rests on 17 sources (8 primary) · ◆ 9 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator4
[1]
Planning Inspectorate2022-03-31◆ East Anglia TWO Offshore Windfarm - Proj…
“Decision Date: 31 March 2022. Consent Status: Granted (post-decision stage). Developer: East Anglia TWO Limited. Capacity: Up to 900 MW with approximately 75 turbines. Location: 37km from Lowestoft an…”
supportsConsentConsent granted
[2]
DESNZ2024-09-03◆ Contracts for Difference Allocation Roun…
“East Anglia Two, Phase 1 | TM415611 | England | EAST ANGLIA TWO LIMITED | Offshore Wind | 963.07 [MW] | 58.87 [GBP/MWh, 2012 prices] | 2028/29 | Pot 3.”
supportsMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[8]
East Anglia TWO Limited / Planning Inspectorate2019-10◆ Title
“The East Anglia TWO windfarm site is located in the southern North Sea approximately 32.6km from its nearest point to the coast (which is at Southwold) and 37.3km to the port of Lowestoft. The East An…”
supportsWater depthDistance from shore
[15]
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero2026-05-06◆ Renewable Energy Planning Database (REPD…
“REPD Q1 2026 quarterly extract — Ref ID 5867: Site Name "East Anglia 2 (EA 2)", Development Status "Awaiting Construction", Installed Capacity 900 MWelec, Operator "Scottish Power Renewables"”
supportsRegister entry
Operator3
[5]
Cadeler A/S2024-11-05
“Cadeler will perform transportation and installation of 64 x 15MW offshore wind turbine generators and foundation T&I using one A-class newbuild vessel together with an O class vessel. The offshore wo…”
supportsTurbinesFoundation
[10]
Sif Group2024-10-31
“Sif will supply 64 monopile foundations and Sif-Smulders joint venture will provide 64 transition pieces for East Anglia TWO, expected to supply up to 960 MW of offshore wind energy. Production of the…”
supportsTurbinesTotal capacityFoundation
[16]
National Energy System Operator (NESO)2026-07-21◆ NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) R…
“NESO TEC Register, edition 21 July 2026 - PRO-000134-1: "East Anglia Two", Status "Awaiting Consents", MW Connected 0, Effective From 2028-03-31, Customer "EAST ANGLIA TWO LIMITED"; PRO-000134-2: "Eas…”
supportsRegister entry
Auction results1
[18]
DESNZ (gov.uk)2024-09◆ cfd-ar6-results-2024
New offshore wind (Pot 3) GBP 58.87, 2028/29: Hornsea Project Four 2,400.00 MW; East Anglia Two Phase 1 963.07 MW. Offshore Wind Permitted Reduction GBP 54.23, 2027/28: Inch Cape A 177.41 / B 88.70 MW…
supportsCfD · AR6
Record source1
[19]
Cadeler A/S2026-07-17◆ cadeler-takes-delivery-of-11th-vessel-wi…
...Under firm contracts announced in 2024, Cadeler will provide the transportation and installation of all 64 wind turbine generators and their foundations. Offshore works are scheduled to commence in…
supportsWind Ace — foundation installationWind Ace — turbine installation
Trade press8
[3]
[4]
[6]
[7]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-12-17
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTurbinesModelTotal capacityom base
[11]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-10◆ Iberdrola Looking to Sell 49 Pct Stake i…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsoperator
[12]
offshoreWIND.biz2026-03-26
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsFinal investment decision
[13]
[14]