BC-Wind

Located off Krokowa/Choczewo municipalities. First project in Poland to be fully delivered from Polish ports.

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2029
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2028: 10.0% (conditional on completion) 2029: 58.5% (conditional on completion) 2030: 26.6% (conditional on completion) 2031: 4.5% (conditional on completion) 2032: 0.5% (conditional on completion)2026now20272028202958%EXPECTED203020312032
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
202810.0%
2029 (expected)58.5%
203026.6%
20314.5%
20320.5%
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2026. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2029; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2028, the slower quarter not until 2029 Q3.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2029, likely range 2028–2030 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The typical build time from the construction start is used.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2022’23’24’25’26’27’28’29Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative) — awarded to Ocean Winds (EDPR/ENGIE)Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative) Jun 2021 · auction recordView the source for Consent grantedConsent granted Oct 2022 View the source for Final investment decisionFinal investment decision Dec 2025 View the sources for Onshore constructionOnshore construction 2026 Commercial operation 2029 ·Hafrok expectedPoland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative) — awarded to Ocean Winds (EDPR/ENGIE) 2021-06 ORIGINATIONEDP Renewables, ENGIE — stake not disclosed · closed 2020-Q3 2019-Q4 JV FORMATIONTODAYOcean Winds — 100% today Ocean Winds Ocean Winds 100%EDP Renewables EDP Renewables EDP Renewables exited 2019-Q4ENGIE ENGIE ENGIE exited 2019-Q4Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative) — awarded to Ocean Winds (EDPR/ENGIE) EDP Renewables, ENGIE — stake not disclosed · closed 2020-Q3
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day

369 MW contracted — tender award
Tender award · Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative)
Price319.6 PLN/MWh ·Capacity369 MWAwardedJun 2021
Term25 yrs

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Satellite installation tracker
counted from satellite radar images · a structure standing in the sea on a given date, not a turbine producing power · a guide, not a sourced fact
Installation · counted from satellite
Foundations0 of 260% · first seen —
Turbinesnone yet0 of 26
Latest count2026-09-06from 128 satellite passes · 0 substation platforms left out so the counts compare with the turbine number · anything first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed
Hafrok counts foundations and turbines from satellite radar images (≈): a structure is counted once it is seen standing in the sea, which is not the same as producing power. A structure first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed, because on a single image a freshly set foundation and a ship holding position look alike. Substation platforms are left out so the counts compare with the number of turbines. Rows marked with a dot (·) come from Hafrok’s own registers; a supplier or contract appears only where a source states it — everything else reads “not recorded”, never guessed.
Construction ports
PortPort of Świnoujście (ORLEN Neptun terminal) Foundation marshalling
PortPort of Gdańsk Turbine marshalling
PortPort of Władysławowo O&M / service base (2 service vessels during construction; 1 CTV based there in operations); quay and mooring-infrastructure modernisation by Hydrobudowa Gdańsk, port crane due Q1 2027

Sources & verification

14/18 fields verified · rests on 13 sources (9 primary) · ◆ 7 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator7
[1]
Ocean Winds2021-06-30◆ Ocean Winds, the 50/50 JV owned by EDPR …
“Ocean Winds, the 50-50 JV owned by EDPR and ENGIE, has been awarded a CfD for the 'B&C-Wind' offshore wind farm in Poland … awarded by the Polish Energy Regulatory Office … capacity 369.5 MW … referen…”
supportsMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[2]
BC-Wind (Ocean Winds project site)2026
“Contract for Difference (CfD) awarded: June 2021 by the Energy Regulatory Office … Grid connection agreement signed: March 2021 … Water depth: 35-60 m … Distance from shore: approximately 23 km … Numb…”
supportsTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacityFoundationStatus+3 more
[3]
Ocean Winds2025-12-01◆ Ocean Winds has reached Financial Close …
“Ocean Winds has reached Financial Close for its BC-Wind project in Poland … BC-Wind is an offshore wind project developed by Ocean Winds in the Polish Exclusive Economic Zone of the Baltic Sea … 26 tu…”
supportsFinal investment decisionTurbinesModelUnit capacityTotal capacity+4 more
[6]
Ocean Winds2022-10-24◆ Ocean Winds was awarded a positive envir…
“Ocean Winds was awarded a positive environmental decision for the BC-Wind offshore wind farm … The decision was taken by the Regional Directorate for Environmental Protection (RDOŚ) in Gdańsk … an imp…”
supportsConsentConsent granted
[10]
Ocean Winds2025
“Ocean Winds is the exclusive owner of the BC-Wind Project, holding sole rights to develop offshore wind farms across two adjacent sites.”
supportsowner
[13]
BC-Wind (Ocean Winds project site)2026-08-27◆ Zakończyliśmy przewierty HDD na trasie l…
“Zakończyliśmy trzy horyzontalne przewierty sterowane (HDD) na trasie lądowej linii eksportowej ... Pierwszy z przewiertów HDD, który liczy około 900 metrów i przebiega pod wydmą oraz ul. Spacerową w L…”
supportsOnshore construction
[15]
BC-Wind (Ocean Winds project site)2026-08-06◆ Ocean Winds wybrał Hydrobudowę Gdańsk na…
“Hydrobudowa Gdańsk wybrana na wykonawcę modernizacji nabrzeży i infrastruktury cumowniczej we Władysławowie [...] w trakcie budowy z portu korzystać będą dwie jednostki serwisowe Ocean Winds, a w fazi…”
supportsFoundation marshallingTurbine marshallingO&M / service base (2 service vessels during construction; 1 CTV based there in operations); quay and mooring-infrastructure modernisation by Hydrobudowa Gdańsk, port crane due Q1 2027
Auction results1
[16]
Norton Rose Fulbright2026-06-22◆ pl-phase1-admin-cfd-2021-pl-owa
Poland Offshore Wind Act CfD: PLN 60,000/MW security, first power within 7 years of decision/auction-close
supportsTender award · Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative)
Trade press5
[5]
Offshore Wind Biz2025-12-01
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTurbinesUnit capacityFoundationFoundation marshallingTurbine marshalling+1 more
[7]
Offshore Wind Biz2025-06-10
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsFoundation marshallingTurbine marshallingO&M / service base (2 service vessels during construction; 1 CTV based there in operations); quay and mooring-infrastructure modernisation by Hydrobudowa Gdańsk, port crane due Q1 2027
[11]
Global Energy Monitor2026-07-02
supportsCoordinates
[12]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
[14]
offshoreWIND.biz2026-08-14◆ Ocean Winds Selects Bilfinger for Offsho…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore construction