Baltic Power
Located off Choczewo/Leba coast. Onshore substation at Choczewo municipality complete and ready for commissioning tests.
Status
Under Constructionlifecycle stage
DeliveringHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
OROrlen — 51% ◇
Northland Power — 49% ◇Location
PolandBaltic Sea
Technology
Capacity
1,140 MW ◆
Turbines
76 × 15 MW ◆
Model
Vestas V236 15-0 ◆
Foundation
Monopile ◆
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held ∴
Origination
Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative) · 2021 ·
Water depth
30–45 m ◆
Distance from shore
23 km ◆
Wind speed
9.8 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
CfD · 319.6 PLN/MWh ◆
Grid
Secured ◆
Connection
Grid connection agreement with PSE signed; onshore substation … ◆
Schedule
FID
Oct 2023 ◆
COD · announced
2026 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2026 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2026
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record, its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2026 (expected) | 86.7% |
| 2027 | 13.3% |
| Stated | Announced COD |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 2026 (held since 2021-06-16, 5 statements) |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in
2023. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2026; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2025, the slower quarter not until 2026 Q3.3
Result
Expected commercial operation
2026, likely range 2025–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it
Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
Origination · 2021-06
Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative)
- Awarded to
- Orlen / Northland Power
- Basis
- integrated tender
From the auction results — the round that created the project.
JV entry · 2021-01
PKN Orlen → Northland Power 49%
- Stake
- 49%
- Consideration
- not disclosed
- Announced
- 2021-01
- Closed
- 2021-03
- Project stage
- pre-FID
Northland Power announced acquisition of 49% stake in Baltic Power (then up to 1,200 MW, later refined to 1,140 MW) from PKN Orlen on 29 January 2021. Transaction closed 24 March 2021 following regulatory approvals. Northland expected to invest approximately PLN 290 million (CAD 100 million, approximately EUR 63–65M at ~0.22 PLN/EUR) in 2021, inclusive of both the purchase price for the stake AND development expenditures for 2021 — the two components were not separately disclosed. Project was pre-FID at closing: location permit in place, environmental permit filed, grid connection agreement with PSE signed January 2021. CfD subsequently awarded June 2021 (PLN 319.60/MWh, 25-year). Financial close for project financing (EUR 4.4 billion debt package, CAD 5.2 billion equivalent) achieved September 2023. Poland's first operational offshore wind farm construction began January 2025.
Evidence
- northlandpower.com — Northland Power Announces Acquisition of a 49% Interest in Baltic Power Offshore Wind Project in Poland With Potential Capacity of Up to 1200 MW ↗ 2021-01 ◆ held
- globenewswire.com — Northland Power Announces Acquisition of a 49% Interest in ↗ 2021-01 ◆ held
- orlen.pl — PKN ORLEN finalises its strategic partnership with Northland Power on Baltic Power project ↗ 2021-01 ◆ held
From Hafrok’s transactions record
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: held (announced 2026, unchanged) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above
Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day
1,197 MW contracted — tender award
● Tender award · Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative)
Price319.6 PLN/MWh ·Capacity1,197 MWAwardedJun 2021Term25 yrs
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Satellite installation tracker
counted from satellite radar images · a structure standing in the sea on a given date, not a turbine producing power · a guide, not a sourced fact
Installation · counted from satellite
Foundations76 of 76≈100% · first seen 2025-01-28
Turbines76 of 76≈100% · first seen 2025-03-07
Latest count2026-08-31from 325 satellite passes · 2 substation platforms left out so the counts compare with the turbine number · anything first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed
Hafrok counts foundations and turbines from satellite radar images (≈): a structure is counted once it is seen standing in the sea, which is not the same as producing power. A structure first seen in the last 60 days is not yet confirmed, because on a single image a freshly set foundation and a ship holding position look alike. Substation platforms are left out so the counts compare with the number of turbines. Rows marked with a dot (·) come from Hafrok’s own registers; a supplier or contract appears only where a source states it — everything else reads “not recorded”, never guessed.
Structures standing over time · count
strong line = confirmed · light line = seen in the last 60 days, not yet confirmed · the chart counts every structure (76 turbines + 2 platforms); the table counts turbines only
foundationsturbines up (a substation top being set in place counts here too)
Installation contracts
FoundationsSvanen◇Van Oord · foundation installation vessel · 2025-02 → 2026-02 · Completed
FoundationsMV Lone◇Sal Heavy Lift · heavy-lift vessel · 2025-04 → 2026-03 · Completed
TurbinesWind Osprey◇Cadeler · turbine installation vessel · 2025-07 → 2026-04 · Completed
TurbinesWind Mover◇Cadeler · turbine installation vessel · 2026-04 → · UnderwaySatellite image
Image taken2026-09-06≈Copernicus Sentinel-1 radar satellite, southbound pass
Farm covered100%≈the whole farm lies inside the image
Structures ringed78 confirmed · 0 not yet confirmed≈as counted on 2026-08-31 · the image is newer than the count, so a bright spot without a ring may be a structure not yet counted
Construction ports
PortPort of Gdynia ◆·Component fabrication / marshalling (offshore substation structures) · quay 400 m · draft 15.5 m
PortLeba ◆O&M / installation service base
Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA and by Microsoft Planetary Computer.
Latest satellite radar image · 2026-09-06
a radar picture, not a photograph: the sea is dark, steel is bright · black is beyond the edge of the image
confirmed structure (78)seen recently, not yet confirmed (0)probably a substation platform (a larger structure than a turbine; the register above has the facts)farm boundary
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 2
Offshore substationBaltic Power offshore substation (1 of 2)·under construction · owner Baltic Power sp. z o.o. (ORLEN Group 51% / Northland Power 49%)
Offshore substationBaltic Power offshore substation (2 of 2)·under construction · owner Baltic Power sp. z o.o. (ORLEN Group 51% / Northland Power 49%)
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
Sources & verification
17/19 fields verified · rests on 22 sources (22 primary) · ◆ 11 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator12
[1]
Baltic Power (ORLEN Group / Northland Power)
“Baltic Power's offshore wind farm area of approximately 130 square kilometres will feature 76 wind turbines, each with a generating capacity of 15 MW. ... 23 km to the north of the Polish coastline, o…”
supportsCommercial operationTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacityDistance from shore
[3]
Baltic Power (ORLEN Group / Northland Power)2024-10-18
“In the Baltic Power offshore wind farm area, the depth of the seabed reaches 30-45 metres ... monopiles ... driven more than 40 metres into the seabed.”
supportsFoundationWater depth
[7]
Northland Power2023-09-19◆ Northland Power Announces Signing of Cre…
“Northland Power Inc. ... 49% ... Orlen S.A. (51%). ... The project's 25-year Euro-pegged and inflation-indexed Contract for Difference ... Full commercial operations are expected in the latter half of…”
supportsCommercial operationMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[8]
ORLEN (Grupa ORLEN)2023-10-12
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsConsentFinal investment decision
[9]
ORLEN (Grupa ORLEN)2026-02-18◆ All foundations installed as Baltic Powe…
“The installation of all 78 foundations, called monopiles, has been completed at Poland's first offshore wind farm. ... Transition pieces: 60/78 ... Wind turbines: 30/76 ... Baltic Power is scheduled t…”
supportsCommercial operation
[10]
Baltic Power (ORLEN Group / Northland Power)2025-11-01
“Baltic Power opened Poland's first dedicated offshore wind operations and maintenance service base ... in Łeba ... supporting installation work in a marine area covering over 130 km².”
supportsO&M / installation service base
[11]
Baltic Power (ORLEN Group)2025-02-05
“Manufactured at shipyards in Gdynia and Gdańsk, the steel structures of two offshore substations ... The completed structures were moved onto a barge ... and are now sailing to Aalborg for outfitting.”
supportsComponent fabrication / marshalling (offshore substation structures)
[12]
[14]
Baltic Power (ORLEN Group / Northland Power)2025-02-06
“As scheduled, the offshore construction of the first Polish offshore wind farm Baltic Power, a joint venture between Orlen Group and Northland Power, has commenced in January. The first monopiles, the…”
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore construction
[16]
Northland Power2026-07-10◆ Northland's Baltic Power Reaches First P…
“TORONTO, July 10, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Northland Power Inc. (“Northland” or the “Company”) (TSX: NPI) today announced that Baltic Power – its 1.1-gigawatt offshore wind project, owned 49% by Northl…”
supportsFirst powerCOD history
[23]
Baltic Power2026-07-10◆ Morska farma wiatrowa baltic power po ra…
“na farmie Baltic Power – wspólnym projekcie ORLEN i Northland Power – pierwsze turbiny przeszły wymagane testy i dostarczyły energię z morskiego wiatru do krajowej sieci energetycznej. Odbiór energii …”
supportsFirst power
[25]
Baltic Power2026-06-22◆ Już 50 turbin zainstalowanych na morskie…
“Projekt znajduje się w końcowej fazie realizacji (postęp prac: ponad 80%). Aktualny status:
Fundamenty i elementy przejściowe: 78/78 – prace zakończone
Turbiny: 50/76 – w trakcie instalacji
Morskie ka…”
supportsStatusConnection point
OEM1
[2]
Vestas / windfair2023-09-28
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTurbinesModelUnit capacityTotal capacity
Auction results1
[28]
Norton Rose Fulbright2026-06-22◆ pl-phase1-admin-cfd-2021-pl-owa
Poland Offshore Wind Act CfD: PLN 60,000/MW security, first power within 7 years of decision/auction-close
supportsTender award · Poland offshore CfD Phase 1 (administrative)
Record source4
[29]
Van Oord2025-02◆ vanoord-svanen-first-monopile-2025-02
Heavy lift installation vessel Svanen installs first monopile at Baltic Power wind farm | Van Oord
supportsSvanen — foundation installation
[30]
offshore-energy.biz / offshoreWIND.biz2026-03-20◆ oe-baltic-power-all-tps-2026-03
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsMV Lone — foundation installation
[31]
Cadeler A/S2025-07-07◆ cadeler-baltic-power-first-wtg-2025-07
This weekend, Cadeler successfully completed the installation of the very first Vestas 15MW turbine at the Baltic Power Offshore Wind Farm in the Baltic Sea... Over the coming months, Cadeler's Wind O…
supportsWind Osprey — turbine installation
[32]
Cadeler A/S2026-04-10◆ cadeler-wind-mover-first-project-2026-04
Cadeler's newbuild wind installation vessel Wind Mover is installing the very first turbine on her first transportation and installation campaign following her delivery last year. From Port of Ronne i…
supportsWind Mover — turbine installation
Trade press4
[4]
The Wind Power (industry database)
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCoordinates
[5]
Energy Regulatory Office (URE) / offshoreWIND.biz2021-06-16◆ 1.2 GW Baltic Power Offshore Wind Farm S…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[13]
offshoreWIND.biz2023-05-23
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore construction
[15]