Hafrok

IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 2 (Zeevonk)

Phase 2 was originally part of a single 2 GW project.

Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
Vattenfall ◆
CIP ◆
Location
Netherlands
North Sea
Verification
6/12 fields verified
10 sources · ◆ 4 documents held
◆verified≈modelled◇sourced∴inferred·derived
open the source register →
Technology
Capacity 1,000 MW ◆
Turbines —
Foundation —
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held ∴
Origination IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta · 2024 ·
Water depth 24–32 m ≈ Wind speed 10.0 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake Merchant ◆ Grid Secured ◆ Connection TenneT Net op zee IJmuiden Ver Beta HVDC connection to … ◆
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · announced 2032 ◆
COD · Hafrok 2032 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2032
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈76% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2031: 3.9% (conditional on completion) 2032: 50.2% (conditional on completion) 2033: 29.5% (conditional on completion) 2034: 10.6% (conditional on completion) 2035: 3.8% (conditional on completion) 2036: 1.4% (conditional on completion) 2037: 0.6% (conditional on completion)2026now20272028202920302031203250%20332034203520362037 Developer-announced COD: 2032 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2032
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20313.9%
2032 (expected)50.2%
203329.5%
203410.6%
20353.8%
20361.4%
20370.6%
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in 2024. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2028; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2026, the slower quarter not until 2029.
3
Still needs an offtake award: NL-IJMUIDEN-VER-GAMMA-A
The project has no offtake contract yet. The next visible auction is around 2026 Q4; winners typically reach final investment decision about 2 years after an award (2028 Q4), then build time on top gives 2031 Q4. That is later than the milestone timing, so the auction sets the date.
4
Result
Expected commercial operation 2032, likely range 2032–2033 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
5
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
6
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈76%, which rates it Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2024’25’26’27’28’29’30’31’32Developer-announced COD: 2032 announced COD 2032View the source for Consent grantedConsent granted 11 Jun 2024 ◆IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Zeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners)IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta Jun 2024 · auction recordCommercial operation 2032 ·Hafrok expectedIJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Zeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners) 2024-06 ORIGINATIONTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDTODAYZeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners) Zeevonk II Zeevonk II not among today’s recorded owners — no sale recordedVattenfall · operator Vattenfall VattenfallCIP CIP CIPIJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Zeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners) Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed.
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Revenue & offtake route to market — open

No offtake secured — route to market open

Subsidy-free tender (no CfD); electricity route merchant/hydrogen. A 250 MW corporate PPA with Google (signed Dec 2024) for the Zeevonk project; phase allocation not confirmed in source. No offtake confirmed for Phase 2 (1 GW, 2032) specifically. ◇

The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A ◇
expected H2 2026 · scheduled · the round’s published documents do not name this project
announced

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2032
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
HVDC systemIJmuiden Ver Beta·2000 MW · ±525 kV · under construction, expected 2029
Export & onshore
Export cableIJmuiden Ver Beta Export Cable·HVDC subsea · 163 km · NKT · ordered · to Maasvlakte, Port of Rotterdam
Onshore connectionAmaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakte)·380 kV · under construction · also serves IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 1 (Zeevonk), IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A, IJmuiden Ver Gamma-B, Nederwiek II
Onshore connectionMaasvlakte Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Beta)·525 DC / 380 AC kV · under construction · also serves IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 1 (Zeevonk)
Converter supplierGE Vernova·IJmuiden Ver Beta · Seatrium (Singapore + Batam, Indonesia) · for TenneT
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
2026202720282029203020312032Hafrok expects the farm to start in 2032developer’s stated start 2032nowIJmuiden Ver BetaIJmuiden Ver Betaexpected 2029expected 2029Amaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakte)Amaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakt…expected 2027-Q1expected 2027-Q1Maasvlakte Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Beta)Maasvlakte Converter Station (IJm…expected 2028expected 2028IJmuiden Ver Beta Export CableIJmuiden Ver Beta Export Cableexpected 2029expected 2029

Sources & verification

6/12 fields verified · rests on 10 sources (5 primary) · ◆ 4 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[4]
RVO (Netherlands Enterprise Agency)2024-06◆ RVO IJmuiden Ver Alpha & Beta results
“The permit for the IJmuiden Ver Wind Farm Site Beta goes to Zeevonk II. These are the largest Dutch wind farms in the North Sea to date. Combined, they provide 4 gigawatts (GW) of wind energy capacity…”
supportsoperatorownerMechanismDetailOfftake history
source ↗
[5]
RVO (Netherlands Enterprise Agency)2025-10◆ Permits for wind farms at IJmuiden Ver A…
“The permit for Site Beta has been granted to Zeevonk II, a consortium that consists of Vattenfall and Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners. [...] The permit was amended on August 6, 2025, with an author…”
supportsConsentStatusConnection pointConsent granted
source ↗
[14]
RVO — Bureau Energieprojecten (energietransitie.nl)2026-08-23◆ Dutch Bureau Energieprojecten register (…
“Listing row "Wind op zee - IJmuiden Ver kavels Alpha en Beta" (key wind-op-zee-ijmuiden-ver-kavels-alpha-en-beta); offshore docket page text hash a7ed4aac4252b523… (3819 chars).”
supportsRegister entry
source ↗
Auction pipeline1
[15]
RVO2026◆ rvo-gamma-a-2026
RVO — IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A (~1 GW) permit applications open September 2026; subsidy-backed, EUR 104/MWh cap.
supportsIJmuiden Ver Gamma-A
source ↗
Trade press5
[7]
Offshore Wind Biz2025-08-11
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCommercial operationTotal capacity
source ↗
[9]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-08
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
source ↗
[10]
4C Offshore2026-07-02
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCoordinates
source ↗
[11]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
source ↗
[12]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
source ↗
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityWater depthCoordinates
source ↗