Hafrok

IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 1 (Zeevonk)

Zeevonk consortium originally planned 2 GW + 50 MW floating solar + 1 GW electrolyser at Maasvlakte.

Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
Vattenfall — 50% ◆
CICopenhagen Infrastructure Partners — 50% ◆
Location
Netherlands
North Sea
Verification
6/12 fields verified
13 sources · ◆ 7 documents held
◆verified≈modelled◇sourced∴inferred·derived
open the source register →
Technology
Capacity 1,000 MW ◆
Turbines —
Foundation —
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held ∴
Origination IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta · 2024 ·
Water depth 24–32 m ≈ Wind speed 10.0 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake PPA ◆ Grid Offered ◆ Connection TenneT 2 GW HVDC platform (Beta), connecting to onshore grid … ◆
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · announced 2030 ◆
COD · Hafrok 2030 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2030
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈81% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract puts this one well above that; its size and technical complexity weigh only slightly against it.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
20%40%60%80%100% 2029: 3.9% (conditional on completion) 2030: 50.2% (conditional on completion) 2031: 29.5% (conditional on completion) 2032: 10.6% (conditional on completion) 2033: 3.8% (conditional on completion) 2034: 1.4% (conditional on completion) 2035: 0.6% (conditional on completion)2026now202720282029203050%20312032203320342035 Developer-announced COD: 2030 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2030developer cod guidance2025-Q3: the developer guided 2029 — source [14] — click for it2025-Q32029 [14]2026-07-17: the developer guided 2030 — source [13] — click for it2026-072030 [13]
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20293.9%
2030 (expected)50.2%
203129.5%
203210.6%
20333.8%
20341.4%
20350.6%
Developer COD guidance, by the date it was stated
StatedAnnounced COD
2025-Q32029
2026-07-172030
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in 2024. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2028; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2026, the slower quarter not until 2029.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2030, likely range 2026–2029 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈81%, which rates it Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2024’25’26’27’28’29’30Developer-announced COD: 2030 announced COD 2030View the source for Consent grantedConsent granted 11 Jun 2024 ◆IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Zeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners)IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta Jun 2024 · auction recordCommercial operation 2030 ·Hafrok expectedIJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Zeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners) 2024-06 ORIGINATIONTODAYVattenfall — 50% today · operator Vattenfall Vattenfall 50%Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners — 50% today CIP CIP 50%IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Zeevonk II (Vattenfall + Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners)
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +1.0 yr (first announced 2029) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2030
Installation contracts
FoundationsOrion◇Deme · foundation installation vessel · Contracted Offshore substationSleipnir◇Heerema · heavy-lift vessel · 2027 → 2028-H2 · Contracted
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
HVDC systemIJmuiden Ver Beta·2000 MW · ±525 kV · under construction, expected 2029
Export & onshore
Export cableIJmuiden Ver Beta Export Cable·HVDC subsea · 163 km · NKT · ordered · to Maasvlakte, Port of Rotterdam
Onshore connectionAmaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakte)·380 kV · under construction · also serves IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 2 (Zeevonk), IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A, IJmuiden Ver Gamma-B, Nederwiek II
Onshore connectionMaasvlakte Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Beta)·525 DC / 380 AC kV · under construction · also serves IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 2 (Zeevonk)
Converter supplierGE Vernova·IJmuiden Ver Beta · Seatrium (Singapore + Batam, Indonesia) · for TenneT
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
20262027202820292030Hafrok expects the farm to start in 2030developer’s stated start 2030nowIJmuiden Ver BetaIJmuiden Ver Betaexpected 2029expected 2029Amaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakte)Amaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakt…expected 2027-Q1expected 2027-Q1Maasvlakte Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Beta)Maasvlakte Converter Station (IJm…expected 2028expected 2028IJmuiden Ver Beta Export CableIJmuiden Ver Beta Export Cableexpected 2029expected 2029

Sources & verification

6/12 fields verified · rests on 13 sources (8 primary) · ◆ 7 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[4]
RVO (Netherlands Enterprise Agency)2024-06-11◆ RVO IJmuiden Ver Alpha & Beta results
“The permit for the IJmuiden Ver Wind Farm Site Beta goes to Zeevonk II. These are the largest Dutch wind farms in the North Sea to date. Combined, they provide 4 gigawatts (GW) of wind energy capacity…”
supportsoperatorownerConsentConsent granted
source ↗
[8]
RVO (Netherlands Enterprise Agency)2023-11◆ Project and Site Description IJmuiden Ve…
“TSO TenneT will construct two offshore substation platforms with grid connections for IJVWFS Alpha and IJVWFS Beta.”
supportsStatusConnection point
source ↗
[15]
RVO — Bureau Energieprojecten (energietransitie.nl)2026-08-23◆ Dutch Bureau Energieprojecten register (…
“Listing row "Wind op zee - IJmuiden Ver kavels Alpha en Beta" (key wind-op-zee-ijmuiden-ver-kavels-alpha-en-beta); offshore docket page text hash a7ed4aac4252b523… (3819 chars).”
supportsRegister entry
source ↗
Operator3
[6]
WindpowerNL2025-08-08
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
source ↗
[7]
Offshore Wind Biz2024-12-18◆ Google buys offshore wind power from Vat…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsMechanismDetail
source ↗
[13]
Vattenfall2026-07-17◆ Vattenfall — vattenfall q2 presentation …
“NL Zeevonk phase 1 (Ijmuiden Ver Beta) 1,000 50 2030 Bid awarded in June 2024, partnering with CIP, phased development, preparing”
supportsCommercial operationCOD history
source ↗
Record source2
[16]
Vattenfall2026-07-20◆ vattenfall-zeevonk-deme-award-2026-07
The works will be carried out using several vessels from DEME's fleet, including the offshore installation vessel Orion for monopile installation, supported by a jack-up vessel for secondary steel and…
supportsOrion — foundation installation
source ↗
[17]
offshore-energy.biz / offshoreWIND.biz2026-08-31◆ oe-ijv-beta-jacket-2026-08
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsSleipnir — substation installation
source ↗
Trade press4
[9]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-08
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
source ↗
[10]
4C Offshore2026-07-02
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCoordinates
source ↗
[11]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
source ↗
[12]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
source ↗
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityWater depthCoordinates
source ↗