Eoliennes Flottantes d'Occitanie (EFLO - Narbonnaise)

AO6 Round 6 project. One of two Mediterranean floating wind sites awarded under AO6.

Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Location
France
Mediterranean Sea
Technology
Capacity 250 MW 
Turbines
Foundation Floating 
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held 
Origination France Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating) · 2024 ·
Water depth 7–34 m  Distance from shore 25 km  Wind speed 9.9 m/s @ 150 m 
Revenue & grid
Offtake CfD · €92.7/MWh  Grid No agreement · 2025-09  Connection RTE grid connection. Eiffage (via Smulders) contracted by RTE … 
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · announced 2031 
COD · Hafrok 2031 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2031
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈83% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract puts this one well above that; a market with a thinner delivery record and technical complexity weigh only slightly against it.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2030: 3.9% (conditional on completion) 2031: 50.2% (conditional on completion) 2032: 29.5% (conditional on completion) 2033: 10.6% (conditional on completion) 2034: 3.8% (conditional on completion) 2035: 1.4% (conditional on completion) 2036: 0.6% (conditional on completion)2026now2027202820292030203150%20322033203420352036 Developer-announced COD: 2031 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2031
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20303.9%
2031 (expected)50.2%
203229.5%
203310.6%
20343.8%
20351.4%
20360.6%
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in 2026. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (floating, in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2032; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2030, the slower quarter not until 2032 Q3.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2031, likely range 2030–2033 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈83%, which rates it Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2025’26’27’28’29’30’31Developer-announced COD: 2031 announced COD 2031France Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating) — awarded to Ocean Winds + Eolien en Mer ParticipationFrance Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating) Dec 2024 · auction recordCommercial operation 2031 ·Hafrok expectedFrance Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating) — awarded to Ocean Winds + Eolien en Mer Participation 2024-12 ORIGINATIONTODAYOcean Winds · operator Ocean Winds Ocean WindsBanque des Territoires Banque des Territoires Banque des TerritoiresFrance Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating) — awarded to Ocean Winds + Eolien en Mer Participation
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day

250 MW contracted — tender award
Tender award · France Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating)
Price€92.7/MWh ·Capacity250 MWAwardedDec 2024
Term20 yrs

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2031
Construction ports
PortPort-la-Nouvelle ·likely marshalling · quay 250 m · draft 11 m

Sources & verification

0/15 fields verified · rests on 11 sources (1 primary) · ◆ 5 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator3
[1]
Ocean Winds2024-12◆ Ocean Winds and Banque des Territoires a…
“Ocean Winds, in partnership with Banque des Territoires, has been awarded the Eoliennes Flottantes d'Occitanie project by the French Ministry in charge of Industry and Energy. The project has a total …”
supportsoperatorownerConsentCommercial operationTotal capacity+1 more
[6]
Ocean Winds2025◆ Éoliennes Flottantes d’Occitanie - Ocean…
“Eoliennes Flottantes d'Occitanie (EFLO) [...] around 250 MW [...] Gulf of Lion, Mediterranean Sea [...] one of the windiest areas in France, with average wind speeds close to 10 m/s [...] Port-La Nouv…”
supportsTotal capacitylikely marshalling
[10]
DGEC — Ministère de la Transition écologique (eoliennesenmer.fr)2026-08-25◆ French Eoliennes en mer register (DGEC),…
“Register node 805 (node--type-project) at /facades-maritimes-en-france/facade-mediterranee/projets-en-mediterranee/Narbonnaise/Narbonnaise-1 — title 'Narbonnaise Sud-Hérault 1'; page text 13832 chars,…”
supportsRegister entry
Auction results1
[11]
CRE (Commission de regulation de l'energie) / DGEC2024◆ fr-ao6-cahier-des-charges
AO6 cahier des charges ("FLOTTANTES DE MEDITERRANEE") - two floating farms in the Golfe du Lion.
supportsTender award · France Offshore Wind AO6 (Mediterranean floating)
Trade press7
[2]
French Ministry of Industry and Energy2024-12-27◆ Construction et l’exploitation de deux p…
“Les deux lauréats des deux zones [...] la zone « Narbonaise » [...] Ocean Winds et Eolien en Mer Participation [...] plus de 25 kilomètres des côtes françaises, entre Agde (Hérault) et Port-la-Nouvell…”
supportsDistance from shore
[3]
Offshore Wind Biz2024-12-27
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsBackground
[4]
Energies de la Mer2024-12-30
“le projet « Éoliennes Flottantes d'Occitanie – EFLO » d'Ocean Winds (Engie et EDPR) et de la Banque des territoires (Eolien en Mer Participation) est au tarif de 92,70€/MWh”
supportsMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[5]
Eiffage2025-09-30
“Eiffage has been awarded the contract for three substations for the Bretagne Sud, Narbonnaise Sud-Hérault and Golfe de Fos French offshore wind farms, worth more than €1.5 billion.”
supportsStatusConnection point
[7]
Global Energy Monitor2026-07-02
supportsCoordinates
[8]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[9]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed