Nordlicht 2 (N-6.6)
Second phase of Nordlicht cluster. Originally conditional FID in March 2025, became full FID January 2026 after BSH permit.
Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
DeliveringHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
Vattenfall — 100% ◆Location
GermanyNorth Sea
Technology
Capacity
630 MW ◆
Turbines
44 × 15 MW ◆
Foundation
Monopile ◆
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held ∴
Origination
BNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative) · 2023 ·
Water depth
37–40 m ◆
Distance from shore
85 km ◆
Wind speed
10.3 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
Merchant ◆
Grid
Secured · 2025-10-29 ◆
Connection
BorWin Delta (BorWin4) converter platform, NOR-6-3 grid … ◆
Schedule
FID
13 Jan 2026 ◆
COD · announced
2029 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2029 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2029
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈93%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Financed projects (investment decision taken) complete ≈92% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; its size and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2029 (expected) | 91.5% |
| 2030 | 8.5% |
| Stated | Announced COD |
|---|---|
| 2024-04-22 | 2028 (held since 2023-12-05, 2 statements) |
| 2025-02-06 | 2029 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2028 (held since 2025-11-06, 2 statements) |
| 2026-03 | 2029 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2028 |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Final investment decision in
2026. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2029; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2029, the slower quarter not until 2030.3
Result
Expected commercial operation
2029, likely range 2029–2030 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development (FID) projects that went on to complete — ≈92%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Financed projects have essentially always gone on to operate, but few have resolved since taking their investment decision — the estimate holds just below the construction-stage level rather than claiming certainty from a thin record. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈93%, which rates it
Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
Origination · 2023-08
BNetzA Offshore Wind Auction 2023 (central model, qualitative)
- Awarded to
- RWE Renewables Offshore HoldCo Four GmbH
- Basis
- integrated tender
From the auction results — the round that created the project.
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: held (announced 2028, unchanged) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2029
Construction ports
PortEemshaven ∅·quay 5000 m · crane 50 t · draft 14 m
Installation contracts
Foundationsvessel not yet named◇2027 · Contracted
Turbinesvessel not yet named◇ContractedSources & verification
16/18 fields verified · rests on 12 sources (12 primary) · ◆ 11 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator1
[1]
Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH)2025-10◆ Plangenehmigung Offshore-Windpark Nordli…
“Plangenehmigung Offshore-Windenergiepark „Nordlicht II" Trägerin des Vorhabens: Nordlicht Offshore Wind GmbH … Hamburg, den 29.10.2025 … Geplant sind 44 WEA mit einer Nennleistung von je 15 MW geplant…”
supportsConsentTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacityFoundation+7 more
Operator7
[2]
Vattenfall2025-11-06◆ Vattenfall receives planning approval pe…
“The Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH) has granted planning approval for the construction of the Nordlicht 2 offshore wind farm. The project comprises a total of 44 wind turbines, each wit…”
supportsTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacityStatusConnection point
[3]
Vattenfall2026-01-14◆ Germany’s largest wind project is moving…
“In March 2025, Vattenfall took a full FID for Nordlicht I and an FID for Nordlicht II on a conditional basis. The permit for the Nordlicht II offshore wind farm, issued by the Federal Maritime and Hyd…”
supportsFinal investment decisionCommercial operation
[6]
Vattenfall2024-04-22◆ Vattenfall and BASF sign purchase agreem…
“Vattenfall and BASF have agreed the sale of 49 percent of Vattenfall's Nordlicht 1 and 2 wind farms to BASF – The Nordlicht wind project is being built in the German North Sea without state subsidies …”
supportsTotal capacityMechanismDetailDistance from shore
[7]
Vattenfall2025-01-31◆ Vattenfall and BASF award key contracts …
“Vattenfall and BASF signed contracts with four suppliers for key components and installation services for Nordlicht 1 and 2 offshore wind farms, which are located 85 kilometers north of the island of …”
supportsFoundationDistance from shore
[8]
Vattenfall2023-12-05◆ Vattenfall and BASF to partner on German…
“Vattenfall and BASF are in advanced and exclusive discussions to partner on the Nordlicht 1 and 2 projects through a sale of 49 percent of the project shares to BASF … The Nordlicht wind park zone is …”
supportsTotal capacityDistance from shore
[10]
Vattenfall2026-07-02◆ Vattenfall starts offshore construction …
"Nordlicht II is planned to follow around one year later." Both wind farms are scheduled to become operational in 2028. Confirms first monopile installed at Nordlicht I on 2026-07-01 by DEME; no Nordl…
supportsCOD history
[14]
Vattenfall AB2026-03◆ Vattenfall corporate factbook March 2026
“Project Country Type Capacity Est. CO2 reduction2 (ktonnes) Vattenfall’s share (%) Completion Total investment Nordlicht I Wind offshore 980 MW 1,067 100% 2028 2,724 MEUR Nordlicht II Wind offshore 63…”
supportsCommercial operation
Record source2
[17]
Vattenfall2026-07-02◆ vattenfall-nordlicht-construction-start-…
The installation was carried out by DEME, which is responsible for the transport and installation of the foundations and transition pieces for Nordlicht I and II... Nordlicht II is planned to follow a…
supportsVessel — foundation installation
[18]
Vattenfall2024-09-26◆ vattenfall-nordlicht-havfram-2024-09
Havfram will deploy one of its state-of-the-art, low-emission wind turbine installation vessels for the construction of the two wind farms.
supportsVessel — turbine installation
Trade press2
[9]
[12]