Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW)

Located ~43 km (23.5 nm) east of Virginia Beach in federal waters, BOEM Lease Area OCS-A 0483 (112,799 acres).

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2027
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈96% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A market with a thinner delivery record, a very large build, technical complexity and no offtake contract yet pull this one slightly below that.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
20%40%60%80%100% 2027: 86.7% (conditional on completion) 2028: 13.3% (conditional on completion)2026now202787%2028 Developer-announced COD: 2027 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2027developer cod guidance2022-08 → 2025-02: the developer guided 2026 in 2 statements — sources [4] [15] — click for the sources2025-022026 · held since 2022-08 (×2) [4,15]2026-02 → 2026-07: the developer guided 2027 in 3 statements — sources [16] [17] [18] — click for the sources2026-072027 · held since 2026-02 (×3) [16 +2]
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
2027 (expected)86.7%
202813.3%
Developer COD guidance, by the date it was stated
StatedAnnounced COD
2025-02-032026 (held since 2022-08-05, 2 statements)
2026-07-312027 (held since 2026-02-23, 3 statements)
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2023. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2026; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2025, the slower quarter not until 2026 Q3.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2027, likely range 2025–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈96%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2014’15’16’17’18’19’20’21’22’23’24’25’26’27Developer-announced COD: 2027 announced COD 2027BOEM Lease Sale 1 — awarded to Virginia Electric and Power Company (Dominion Virginia Power)BOEM Lease Sale 1 Sep 2013 · auction recordView the source for Onshore constructionOnshore construction 2023 View the source for Consent grantedConsent granted 28 Jan 2024 View the source for First powerFirst power Mar 2026 Commercial operation 2027 ·Hafrok expectedBOEM Lease Sale 1 — awarded to Virginia Electric and Power Company (Dominion Virginia Power) 2013-09 ORIGINATIONTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDDominion Energy (Virginia Power) → Stonepeak — 50.0% · €2,418m · closed 2024-10 2024-02 FARMDOWNTODAYVirginia Electric and Power Company (Dominion Virginia Power) Virginia Electric and P… Virginia Electric and P… not among today’s recorded owners — no sale recordedDominion Energy — 50% today · operator Dominion Energy Dominion Energy 50%Stonepeak — 50% today Stonepeak Stonepeak 50%BOEM Lease Sale 1 — awarded to Virginia Electric and Power Company (Dominion Virginia Power) Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. Dominion Energy (Virginia Power) → Stonepeak — 50.0% · €2,418m · closed 2024-10 50%
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +1.0 yr (first announced 2026) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Revenue & offtake the regime the project was built under

Offtake regime on record
A built project sells its power under the contract or support regime it was financed with; it is not expected to bid into new government offtake rounds. Where the record does not yet name that regime, the row says so rather than guessing.

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation under way
no satellite count yet: this farm is outside the tracker’s coverage so far
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted
Expected start of operation2027
Construction ports
PortPortsmouth Marine Terminal Marshalling / staging and component fabrication

Sources & verification

16/17 fields verified · rests on 13 sources (10 primary) · ◆ 9 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[1]
US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2023-10-30◆ CVOW Commercial Record of Decision
“Under Alternative B, the Revised Layout to Accommodate the Fish Haven and Navigation Alternative, the construction, operation, maintenance, and eventual decommissioning of a 2,587 MW wind energy facil…”
supportsFoundationStatusConnection point
[2]
US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2024-01-28◆ Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind | Bureau …
“On January 28, 2024, BOEM approved the Construction and Operations Plan ... for the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind - Commercial (CVOW-C) Project ... located approximately 23.5 nautical miles east of V…”
supportsConsentTurbinesTotal capacityConsent granted
[20]
Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM)2026-08-23◆ US BOEM offshore-wind register (FR docum…
“Lease row OCS-A 0483: companies ['Virginia Electric and Power Company']; lease_dates ['11/01/2013']; lease_terms ['33 Years']; states ['Virginia']; block_count 32.”
supportsRegister entry
Operator4
[3]
Dominion Energy2024-10-22
“Dominion Energy, Inc. (NYSE: D), today announced that it has closed on a transaction to sell a 50% noncontrolling interest in the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) commercial project to Stonepeak …”
supportsBackground
[4]
Dominion Energy2022-08-05◆ Dominion Energy Receives Approval from V…
“Dominion Energy reached a major milestone in the development of the 2.6-gigawatt Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) project by receiving approval from the Virginia State Corporation Commission. The…”
supportsMechanismDetail
[6]
Dominion Energy2024-10
“176 X 14.7 MW turbines; 2.6 GW total capacity; 27 to 42 miles offshore ... Oct. 2023 Record of Decision issued (BOEM); Jan. 2024 Construction and Operations Plan/Army Corp Permit/NMFS LOA; 2023/2024 C…”
supportsFinal investment decisionOnshore constructionUnit capacityMarshalling / staging and component fabrication
[18]
Dominion Energy / US SEC (EDGAR)2026-07-31◆ Dominion Energy — SEC Form 10-Q for the …
“Installation of the final turbines comprising the 2.6 GW project is expected to be completed by the end of 2027.”
supportsCommercial operationCOD history
Financier1
[11]
Stonepeak2024-10◆ Dominion Energy, Stonepeak Announce Clos…
supportsoperatorowner
OEM1
[5]
Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy2020-05-26◆ Unmatched in the U.S.: Siemens Gamesa SG…
“Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy will conditionally supply SG 14-222 Direct Drive offshore wind turbines to the massive 2,640-MW Dominion Energy Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) commercial project…”
supportsModel
Record source1
[21]
gCaptain2026-01-22◆ gcaptain-cvow-first-tower-2026-01
...of the first permanent turbine tower at the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW). Local media footage shows the newly commissioned installation, U.S.-flagged Wind Turbine Installation Vessel (WTIV…
supportsCharybdis — turbine installation
Trade press3
[7]
Tethys / Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US DOE)◆ Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) | …
“Lease Area OCS-A 0483, covering 112,799 acres located 23.5 nautical miles offshore Virginia ... Water Depth: 25-40 m ... Distance from Shore: 43 km ... Number of Turbines: 2-176 ... Turbine Model: SWT…”
supportsWater depthDistance from shore
[10]
WHRO2026-03-23
“Dominion Energy's wind farm off the Virginia Beach coast sent its first batch of power to the regional electric grid on Monday ... generating just under 15 megawatts of power ... The project will cont…”
supportsFirst power
[14]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed