Salamander
Test & Demonstration. 35km off Peterhead. 6-7 WTGs on Deepsea Star semi-submersible foundations. Odfjell acquired Ørsted's 80% stake August 2025.
Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
Location
United KingdomNorth Sea
Technology
Capacity
100 MW ◆
Turbines
7 ◇
Foundation
Floating ◇
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held ∴
Origination
INTOG Leasing (Innovation and Targeted Oil & Gas) · 2023 ·
Water depth
88–100 m ≈
Distance from shore
35 km ◇
Wind speed
10.5 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
—
Grid
Applied ◆
Connection
Peterhead 132KV Substation (NESO TEC: 200 MW, Scoping stage, … ◆
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · announced
2030 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2033 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2033
expected year of commercial operation
The developer says 2030; Hafrok expects 2033 — 3 years later.
Chance of delivery
≈74%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; technical complexity pulls a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2032 | 14.1% |
| 2033 (expected) | 28.0% |
| 2034 | 22.7% |
| 2035 | 14.6% |
| 2036 | 8.7% |
| 2037 | 5.1% |
| 2038 | 3.1% |
| 2039 | 1.8% |
| 2040 | 1.1% |
| 2041 | 0.7% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in
2025. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (floating, in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2030; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2028, the slower quarter not until 2031.3
Still needs an offtake award: UK-CFD-AR8
The project has no offtake contract yet. The next visible auction is around
2026 Q4; winners typically reach final investment decision about 2 years after an award (2028 Q4), then build time on top gives 2032 Q4. That is later than the milestone timing, so the auction sets the date.4
Result
Expected commercial operation
2033, likely range 2033–2034 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date (2030) is earlier than similar projects have managed — Hafrok's own date is used and the difference is flagged above.5
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
6
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈74%, which rates it
Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
Origination · 2023-03
INTOG Leasing (Innovation and Targeted Oil & Gas)
- Awarded to
- Simply Blue Energy
- Basis
- seabed award
From the auction results — the round that created the project.
Acquisition · 2025-08-26
Ørsted → Odfjell Oceanwind 80%
- Stake
- 80%
- Consideration
- not disclosed
- Announced
- 2025-08-26
- Closed
- 2025-08
- Project stage
- consented
Ørsted's full exit from the 100 MW Salamander floating demonstrator: Odfjell Oceanwind took its entire 80% holding and now develops the project with the remaining shareholders, Simply Blue Group and Subsea7. TYPED acquisition, not farmdown: Ørsted's other development-stage sales in this ledger are minority stakes to financial investors with Ørsted retained, whereas this is a whole majority stake passing to an industrial buyer who takes over development — the Mainstream/EDF (Neart na Gaoithe) and Forewind/RWE (Sofia) shape. Consideration undisclosed — not estimated. STAKE CORROBORATED INDEPENDENTLY: s2 is Ørsted's OWN Capital Markets Day 2023 deck, which sets the pre-sale holding at 80% and names the same two partners, so the figure does not rest on the announcement alone. Read the note, not a grep, when checking this row. Ørsted's March 2023 ENTRY (it acquired the majority stake) is a separate deal and is NOT recorded here — its announcement carries no readable body or meta description, so its terms are unevidenced. Follow-up.
Evidence
- Salamander Offshore Wind Farm (Simply Blue Group) — Odfjell Oceanwind acquires Ørsted`s shares in the Salamander Offshore Wind Farm ↗ 2025-08-26 ◆ held
- Ørsted A/S — Orsted Capital Markets Day 2023 presentation ↗ 2023-06 ◆ held
From Hafrok’s transactions record
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
CfD allocation round
The UK's principal route — a 15-year, CPI-indexed, two-sided CfD awarded in annual competitive rounds.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
CfD Allocation Round 8 ◇
AR8 confirmed (gov update, Mar 2026) to OPEN July 2026 — brought forward from the earlier mid/late-2026 expectation
Corporate PPA
Bilateral long-term offtake with corporate buyers; can cover part of output alongside or ahead of a CfD.
Merchant
Uncontracted sale into the wholesale market — no price floor, full exposure to power prices.
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2030
Sources & verification
5/14 fields verified · rests on 15 sources (8 primary) · ◆ 7 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[4]
Marine Scotland2025-07-24◆ Section 36 Consent - Construction and Op…
“Section 36 consent - Construction and Operation of Generating Station and Offshore Transmission Infrastructure - Salamander Offshore Wind Farm. Applicant: Salamander Wind Project Company Limited, 2nd …”
supportsConsentConsent granted
[14]
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero2026-05-06◆ Renewable Energy Planning Database (REPD…
“REPD Q1 2026 quarterly extract — Ref ID 11035: Site Name "Peterhead - The Salamander Project", Development Status "Application Submitted", Installed Capacity 100 MWelec, Operator "Orsted / Simply Blue…”
supportsRegister entry
[16]
Scottish Government Marine Directorate (MD-LOT)2026-08-23◆ Scottish MD-LOT marine projects register…
“Register row "Salamander Offshore Wind Farm" (key ml/salamander-offshore-wind-farm): Application stage "Application", type "Renewables - Wind".”
supportsRegister entry
Operator4
[3]
NESO2026-06-12◆ NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) R…
“Salamander Offshore Wind Farm,SALAMANDER WIND PROJECT COMPANY LIMITED,Peterhead 132KV Substation,,0,200,200,31/03/2030,Scoping,Direct Connection,SHET,Energy Storage System;Wind Offshore”
supportsStatusConnection point
[5]
Offshore Wind Scotland2025-07-24
“passing this considerable milestone ensures that the project remains firmly on track for deployment before the end of 2030.”
supportsCommercial operation
[7]
Ørsted A/S2023-02◆ Orsted Annual Report 2022
“Simply Blue Group and the minority JV partner Subsea 7 on the 100 MW floating project Salamander in Scotland, we are taking tangible steps into floating offshore wind.”
supportsTotal capacity
[15]
National Energy System Operator (NESO)2026-07-21◆ NESO Transmission Entry Capacity (TEC) R…
“NESO TEC Register, edition 21 July 2026 - PRO-001512: "Salamander Offshore Wind Farm", Status "Scoping", MW Connected 0, Effective From 2030-03-31, Customer "SALAMANDER WIND PROJECT COMPANY LIMITED"”
supportsRegister entry
Auction pipeline1
[17]
DESNZ (gov.uk)2026◆ govuk-cfd-ar8
gov.uk AR8 collection — Allocation Framework, statutory framework and CIB documents published ahead of the round.
supportsCfD Allocation Round 8
Trade press6
[8]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-08
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsoperatordeveloper
[9]
offshoreWIND.biz2025
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityDistance from shore
[10]
[11]
[12]
[13]
Unverified import1
[1]