Taipower Changhua Phase 2
Located ~10 km off Fangyuan Township, Changhua County. Phase 2 of Taipower's government-owned offshore programme. Annual generation ~1 TWh.
Status
Under Constructionlifecycle stage
DeliveringHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
TCTaiwan Power Company — 100% ◆
Location
TaiwanTaiwan Strait
Technology
Capacity
294.5 MW ◆
Turbines
31 × 9.5 MW ◇
Model
Vestas V174 9-5 ◇
Foundation
Jacket ◇
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held ∴
Water depth
37–43 m ≈
Distance from shore
14.7 km ◇
Wind speed
10.3 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
Other ◆
Grid
—
Schedule
FID
Jun 2020 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2026 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2026
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈97%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. Technical complexity and no offtake contract yet pull this one slightly below that.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.0% |
| 2026 (expected) | 58.5% |
| 2027 | 26.6% |
| 2028 | 4.5% |
| 2029 | 0.5% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in
2023. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2025; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2024, the slower quarter not until 2026. Dates already in the past are moved up to today — this project has run beyond the typical timing.3
Result
Expected commercial operation
2026, likely range 2025–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The typical build time from the construction start is used.4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈97%, which rates it
Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026).
Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day
300 MW contracted — feed-in tariff
● Feed-in tariff · Taiwan 2018 Offshore Wind Capacity Allocation — Selection (遴選)
Priceprice undisclosed ·Capacity300 MWAwardedApr 2018Term20 yrs
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation under way
no satellite count yet: this farm is outside the tracker’s coverage so far
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted 2025-03
Expected start of operationnot stated
Sources & verification
6/15 fields verified · rests on 10 sources · ◆ 4 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Auction results1
[12]
Conventus Law2026-06-22◆ tw-selection-2018-tw-2018-bond
Taiwan 2018 grid allocation: Stage-1 NT$4m/MW + Stage-2 NT$2m/MW performance bond; establishment permit before end-2019
supportsFeed-in tariff · Taiwan 2018 Offshore Wind Capacity Allocation — Selection (遴選)
Trade press8
[2]
Power Technology2025
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsoperatorMechanismDetail
[3]
GEM2026◆ Taipower Offshore wind farm - Global Ene…
“Construction [ 6 ] ... 294.5 MW [ 8 ]”
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore constructionSite rightsTotal capacityCoordinates
[4]
[5]
EnergyTrend2022-11-03
“TPC has invested NT$62.88 billion in Phase 2 since its initiation in June 2020”
supportsFinal investment decision
[6]
Taipei Times2020-06-16
“Shinfox Corp (富崴能源) won the tender to develop the state-run utility's phase 2 offshore wind farm in Changhua County ... NT$62.89 billion (US$2.11 billion)”
supportsFinal investment decision
[7]
[8]
自由財經 (Liberty Times Finance)2026-07-30◆ 收拾富崴爛攤！台電接管離岸二期風機安裝合約 拚年底發電
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsFirst powerTurbines
[11]
offshoreWIND.biz2025-03-21◆ First Jacket In at 300 MW Taiwanese Offs…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsOnshore constructionOffshore constructionSite rightsModelUnit capacity+2 more
Unverified import1
[1]