Baltica 9
Located approximately 48 km from coast, covering ~121 km2. Part of PGE's broader Baltic offshore portfolio (Baltica 2, 3, 9, plus F.E.W. Baltic II acquisition).
Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
EWElektrownia Wiatrowa Baltica 9 sp. z o.o. — 100% ◆
Location
PolandBaltic Sea
Technology
Capacity
975 MW ◆
Turbines
—
Foundation
—
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held ∴
Origination
Poland offshore CfD Phase 2 (first competitive auction) · 2025 ·
Water depth
35–56 m ≈
Distance from shore
48 km ◆
Wind speed
10.0 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
CfD · 489 PLN/MWh ◆
Grid
Applied ◆
Connection
Preliminary grid connection conditions obtained; … ◆
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · announced
2032 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2032 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2032
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈82%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract puts this one well above that; a market with a thinner delivery record, its size and technical complexity weigh only slightly against it.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2031 | 3.9% |
| 2032 (expected) | 50.2% |
| 2033 | 29.5% |
| 2034 | 10.6% |
| 2035 | 3.8% |
| 2036 | 1.4% |
| 2037 | 0.6% |
| Stated | Announced COD |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | 2032 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2032-12 |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in
2026. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2031; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2029, the slower quarter not until 2031.3
Result
Expected commercial operation
2032, likely range 2029–2031 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈82%, which rates it
Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
Origination · 2025-12
Poland offshore CfD Phase 2 (first competitive auction)
- Awarded to
- PGE
- Basis
- integrated tender
From the auction results — the round that created the project.
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +0.5 yr (first announced 2032) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above
Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day
975 MW contracted — tender award
● Tender award · Poland offshore CfD Phase 2 (first competitive auction)
Price489 PLN/MWh ·Capacity975 MWAwardedDec 2025Term25 yrs
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2032
Sources & verification
10/14 fields verified · rests on 8 sources (5 primary) · ◆ 6 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator1
[9]
Ministry of Justice (Poland), National Court Register (KRS)2026-08-22◆ KRS odpis aktualny 0000936145 - Elektrow…
“Wspolnicy (shareholders) of ELEKTROWNIA WIATROWA BALTICA 9 SPOLKA Z OGRANICZONA ODPOWIEDZIALNOSCIA (KRS 0000936145): PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA SPOLKA AKCYJNA (KRS 0000059307), 14.314 udzialow o la…”
supports↳ parent
Operator3
[1]
PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna (current report No. 49/2025)2025-12-19◆ Baltica 9 Project With The Right To Cove…
"Elektrownia Wiatrowa Baltica 9 sp. z o.o. ("Baltica 9" – a subsidiary of PGE), the company developing Baltica 9 offshore wind farm project with the capacity of 975 MW … the right to cover a negative …
supportsCOD historyTotal capacityMechanismStrike / priceDetail
[4]
PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna (current report)2023-08-09◆ Obtaining The Decisions On The Permit To…
“Area 44.E.1 received a decision for construction of an offshore wind farm requested by Elektrownia Wiatrowa Baltica 9 sp. z o.o., in which PGE holds 100% of shares.”
supportsoperatorConsentConsent applied
[5]
PGE Baltica2025-12-19◆ PGE Baltica 9 project wins Contract for …
“975 MW Baltica 9 offshore wind farm is located in the western part of the Słupsk Bank, within basin 44.E.1, situated about 48 kilometres from the coast and will cover around 121 square kilometres … fi…”
supportsCommercial operationStatusConnection pointDistance from shoreCoordinates
Auction results1
[10]
Norton Rose Fulbright2026-06-22◆ pl-phase2-auction-2025-pl-owa
Poland Offshore Wind Act CfD: PLN 60,000/MW security, first power within 7 years of decision/auction-close
supportsTender award · Poland offshore CfD Phase 2 (first competitive auction)
Trade press3
[6]
Offshore Wind Biz2025-12-19◆ Poland Awards 3.4+ GW of Offshore Wind C…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsBackground
[7]
[8]