IJmuiden Ver Alpha (Noordzeker)

First Dutch wind farm to use new 2 GW HVDC standard (525 kV). Noordzeker consortium will install artificial reefs at more than 75% of turbines.

Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
SSE Renewables — 50% 
AOAPG (on behalf of ABP) — 50% 
Location
Netherlands
North Sea
Technology
Capacity 2,000 MW 
Turbines
Foundation
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held 
Origination IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta · 2024 ·
Water depth 24–41 m  Distance from shore 62 km  Wind speed 10.0 m/s @ 150 m 
Revenue & grid
Offtake Merchant  Grid Secured · 2025-02  Connection TenneT 2 GW HVDC platform (525 kV DC); export cables land at … 
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · announced 2029-Q3 
COD · Hafrok 2029 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2029
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈73% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits below that: a very large build and technical complexity. A secured offtake contract helps only slightly.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2028: 3.9% (conditional on completion) 2029: 50.2% (conditional on completion) 2030: 29.5% (conditional on completion) 2031: 10.6% (conditional on completion) 2032: 3.8% (conditional on completion) 2033: 1.4% (conditional on completion) 2034: 0.6% (conditional on completion)2026now20272028202950%20302031203220332034 Developer-announced COD: 2029 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2029
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
20283.9%
2029 (expected)50.2%
203029.5%
203110.6%
20323.8%
20331.4%
20340.6%
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in 2024. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2028; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2026, the slower quarter not until 2029.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2029, likely range 2026–2029 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈73%, which rates it Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2025’26’27’28’29Developer-announced COD: 2029-Q3 announced COD 2029-Q3IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Noordzeker (SSE Renewables, ABP, APG)IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta Jun 2024 · auction recordView the source for Consent grantedConsent granted Jul 2024 Commercial operation 2029 ·Hafrok expectedIJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Noordzeker (SSE Renewables, ABP, APG) 2024-06 ORIGINATIONTODAYSSE Renewables — 50% today · operator SSE Renewables SSE Renewables 50%APG (on behalf of ABP) — 50% today · investor APG APG 50%IJmuiden Ver Sites Alpha & Beta — awarded to Noordzeker (SSE Renewables, ABP, APG)
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2029-Q3
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
HVDC systemIJmuiden Ver Alpha·2000 MW · ±525 kV · under construction, expected 2029
Export & onshore
Export cableIJmuiden Ver Alpha Export Cable·HVDC subsea · 176 km · Prysmian · ordered · to Borssele / Sloegebied, Zeeland
Onshore connectionBorssele Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Alpha)·525 DC / 380 AC kV · under construction
Converter supplierHitachi Energy·IJmuiden Ver Alpha · TBD (originally Petrofac EPCI, now L&T) · for TenneT
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
2026202720282029Hafrok expects the farm to start in 2029developer’s stated start 2029-Q3nowIJmuiden Ver AlphaIJmuiden Ver Alphaexpected 2029expected 2029Borssele Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Alpha)Borssele Converter Station (IJmui…expected 2029expected 2029IJmuiden Ver Alpha Export CableIJmuiden Ver Alpha Export Cableexpected 2029expected 2029

Sources & verification

7/13 fields verified · rests on 11 sources (7 primary) · ◆ 6 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator5
[3]
Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO)2024-07◆ Permits for wind farms at IJmuiden Ver A…
"The permit for Site Alpha was granted to Noordzeker, a consortium that consists of SSE Renewables, ABP and APG ... and became irrevocable on 25 July 2024." ... The permit for Site Alpha has been gran…
supportsConsentConsent granted
[4]
Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO)2024-06◆ RVO IJmuiden Ver Alpha & Beta results
“Noordzeker receives the permit for IJmuiden Ver Wind Farm Site Alpha. ... Noordzeker is a consortium that consists of SSE Renewables, ABP and APG. ... Noordzeker will pay EUR 1 million a year ... both…”
supportsMechanismDetail
[5]
Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO)2023-11◆ Project and Site Description IJmuiden Ve…
“The IJmuiden Ver Wind Farm Zone (IJVWFZ) is located 33.4 nautical miles (62 km) off the west coast of the Netherlands in the Dutch North Sea. Each site within the IJVWFZ will accommodate 2 GW of offsh…”
supportsTotal capacityDistance from shore
[6]
Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO)2026-05◆ RVO new offshore wind farms roadmap
“About 2 GW / IJmuiden Ver WFS Alpha / Q1 2024 [permit procedure] / Q3 2029 [(Expected) commissioning of wind farm]”
supportsCommercial operation
[11]
RVO — Bureau Energieprojecten (energietransitie.nl)2026-08-23◆ Dutch Bureau Energieprojecten register (…
“Listing row "Wind op zee - IJmuiden Ver kavels Alpha en Beta" (key wind-op-zee-ijmuiden-ver-kavels-alpha-en-beta); offshore docket page text hash a7ed4aac4252b523… (3819 chars). Listing row "Net op ze…”
supportsRegister entry
Operator2
[2]
Offshore Wind Biz (reporting TenneT press release)2025-02-03
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsStatusConnection point
[7]
SSE Renewables2024-07◆ SSE and APG move forward with developmen…
“Subject to reaching a Final Investment Decision (FID), expected by late 2025, the wind farm would be commissioned by the end of the decade.”
supportsoperatorinvestor
Trade press3
[8]
Global Energy Monitor2026
supportsTotal capacityCoordinates
[9]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[10]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityWater depthDistance from shoreCoordinates