Wando Jangbogo Offshore Wind Farm

Located off Wando/Jangbogo, South Jeolla. State utility-backed project.

Status
Early Developmentlifecycle stage
ProspectiveHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
KWKorea Western Power — 33.33% 
JDJeonnam Development Corporation — 33.33% 
KGKolon Global — 33.34% 
Location
South Korea
Yellow Sea
Technology
Capacity 400 MW 
Turbines
Foundation
Site & conditions
Site rights Application filed 2022-09  Water depth 30–41 m  Wind speed 8.1 m/s @ 150 m 
Revenue & grid
Offtake
Grid
Schedule
FID Not taken
COD · announced 2029 
COD · Hafrok 2034 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2034
expected year of commercial operation
The developer says 2029; Hafrok expects 2034 — 5 years later.
Chance of delivery
≈60% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Early Development projects complete ≈61% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2033: 14.1% (conditional on completion) 2034: 28.0% (conditional on completion) 2035: 22.7% (conditional on completion) 2036: 14.6% (conditional on completion) 2037: 8.7% (conditional on completion) 2038: 5.1% (conditional on completion) 2039: 3.1% (conditional on completion) 2040: 1.8% (conditional on completion) 2041: 1.1% (conditional on completion) 2042: 0.7% (conditional on completion)2026now2028202920302032203428%EXPECTED2036203820402042 Developer-announced COD: 2029 ANNOUNCED 2029
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
203314.1%
2034 (expected)28.0%
203522.7%
203614.6%
20378.7%
20385.1%
20393.1%
20401.8%
20411.1%
20420.7%
How Hafrok got this date
1
No dated milestone yet
Nothing is consented or financed with a date, so the estimate starts from today (2026), adds the time similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took from consent to operation, plus an allowance for obtaining consent.
2
Earliest credible date
Typical consent-to-operation time plus allowances means commercial operation before 2034 is not credible.
3
Still needs an offtake award: KR-OFFSHORE-2026H2
The project has no offtake contract yet. The next visible auction is around 2026 Q4; winners typically reach final investment decision about 2 years after an award (2028 Q4), then build time on top gives 2031 Q4. The milestone timing is already later than that, so it stands.
4
Result
Expected commercial operation 2034, likely range 2034–2039 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). With no milestone to build from, the earliest credible date is the estimate, with a deliberately wide range.
5
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
6
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Early Development projects that went on to complete — ≈61%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). About three in four early-stage projects with a final outcome went on to operate — a record from an easier era. Most of today's early pipeline is still unresolved, so the estimate discounts it. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈60%, which rates it Prospective on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark

2023’24’25’26’27’28’29’30’31’32’33’34Developer-announced COD: 2029 announced COD 2029View the source for Consent appliedConsent applied Sep 2022 Commercial operation 2034 ·Hafrok expected
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD.

Revenue & offtake route to market — open

No offtake secured — route to market open
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
South Korea 2026 H2 Offshore Wind Auction
expected H2 2026 · planned · the round’s published documents do not name this project
MCEE's ten-year roadmap (2026-06-30) schedules 1.7-3.0 GW for 2026 H2 — fixed 1.3-2.0 GW, floating 0.4-1.0 GW. No 공고 date published as of 2026-08-26; the ministry began collecting military-operability consultation requests for H2 bidders from April 2026.

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageEarly Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2029

Sources & verification

1/9 fields verified · rests on 8 sources · ◆ 2 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator1
[2]
Newsfreezone (Korean trade press)2022-09◆ 코오롱글로벌, 400㎿ 규모 '완도 장보고 해상풍력 발전사업' 허가 취득…
“코오롱글로벌은 400MW 규모 '완도 장보고 해상풍력 발전사업' 발전사업허가를 취득했다 — 산업통상자원부로부터 발전사업허가를 2022년 9월 6일 취득. 본격적인 설계 및 인허가 업무에 착수할 예정.”
supportsConsentSite rightsConsent applied
Auction pipeline1
[9]
기후에너지환경부 (MCEE), via 대한민국 정책브리핑 (korea.kr)2026-06-30◆ kr-mcee-roadmap-2026
Roadmap table, 2026 H2 column: 경쟁입찰 물량 1.7~3.0 GW (고정식 1.3~2.0, 부유식 0.4~1.0). "RPS 제도 일몰('27.1.1.)에 따라 '27년 이후 입찰에 대한 세부 운영 방식 및 선정 프로세스 구체화 필요 ('26년 하반기 중)."
supportsSouth Korea 2026 H2 Offshore Wind Auction
Trade press5
[3]
DNV2025-08
“DNV has signed a two-year contract with South Korea's Kolon Global Corporation to provide owner's engineering services for the 400 MW Wando Jangbogo offshore wind farm … including turbine selection — …”
supportsTotal capacity
[5]
DNV2025
“The project is being jointly developed by Korea Western Power Corporation and Jeonnam Development Corporation, both public sector developers, in partnership with Kolon Global, a private EPC firm.”
supportsoperatorowner
[6]
GEM2026
supportsTotal capacityCoordinates
[7]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[8]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
“DNV has signed a two-year contract with Kolon Global Corporation to provide owner's engineering services for the 400 MW Wando Jangbogo offshore wind farm … an estimated investment of KRW 2.6 trillion.”
supportsCommercial operationTotal capacityWater depthCoordinates