Haewoori Floating Wind Farm (CIP)

Part of the Ulsan 6 GW floating wind cluster. CIP's flagship Korea floating wind project.

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2035
expected year of commercial operation
The developer says 2028; Hafrok expects 2035 — 7 years later.
Chance of delivery
≈53% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Early Development projects complete ≈61% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits well below that: a market with a thinner delivery record, a very large build and technical complexity. A secured offtake contract helps only slightly.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
20%40%60%80%100% 2034: 14.1% (conditional on completion) 2035: 28.0% (conditional on completion) 2036: 22.7% (conditional on completion) 2037: 14.6% (conditional on completion) 2038: 8.7% (conditional on completion) 2039: 5.1% (conditional on completion) 2040: 3.1% (conditional on completion) 2041: 1.8% (conditional on completion) 2042: 1.1% (conditional on completion) 2043: 0.7% (conditional on completion)2026now2028203020322034203528%EXPECTED2036203820402042 Developer-announced COD: 2028 ANNOUNCED 2028
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
203414.1%
2035 (expected)28.0%
203622.7%
203714.6%
20388.7%
20395.1%
20403.1%
20411.8%
20421.1%
20430.7%
How Hafrok got this date
1
No dated milestone yet
Nothing is consented or financed with a date, so the estimate starts from today (2026), adds the time similar projects (floating, in developing offshore-wind markets) took from consent to operation, plus an allowance for obtaining consent.
2
Earliest credible date
Typical consent-to-operation time plus allowances means commercial operation before 2035 is not credible.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2035, likely range 2035–2041 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). With no milestone to build from, the earliest credible date is the estimate, with a deliberately wide range.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Early Development projects that went on to complete — ≈61%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). About three in four early-stage projects with a final outcome went on to operate — a record from an easier era. Most of today's early pipeline is still unresolved, so the estimate discounts it. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈53%, which rates it Prospective on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark

2027’28’29’30’31’32’33’34’35Developer-announced COD: 2028 announced COD 2028Commercial operation 2035 ·Hafrok expected
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD.

Revenue & offtake contract duration and price levels · money of the day

532 MW contracted — utility PPA
Utility PPA · South Korea 2026 H1 Offshore Wind Auction (fixed-bottom general + public-led + floating)
Priceprice undisclosed ·Capacity532 MWAwardedJun 2026
Term20 yrs

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageEarly Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2028

Sources & verification

2/12 fields verified · rests on 11 sources · ◆ 5 documents held
VerifiedModelledSourcedInferredConventionUnverifiedNo source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator1
[10]
기후에너지환경부 (MCEE)2026-06-30◆ '26년 상반기 해상풍력 입찰 결과 5개 사업 1,786MW 선정
“「2026년 상반기 해상풍력 고정가격계약 경쟁입찰 결과, 총 3,656MW, 9개 사업이 응찰해 5개 사업, 1,786MW가 최종 선정되었다.」 The ministry release states round TOTALS only — it names no projects and publishes no per-project prices. The floating …”
supportsMechanismDetail
Auction results1
[11]
기후에너지환경부 (MCEE), via 대한민국 정책브리핑 (korea.kr)2026-06-30◆ kr-2026h1-mcee-result
"2026년 상반기 해상풍력 고정가격계약 경쟁입찰 결과, 총 3,656MW, 9개 사업이 응찰해 5개 사업, 1,786MW가 최종 선정되었다. 기후에너지환경부(장관 김성환)는 6월 30일 한국에너지공단이 2026년 상반기 해상풍력 고정가격계약 경쟁입찰 결과를 확정하고, 입찰 사업자에게 개별 통보했다고 밝혔다. … 고정식 해상풍력은 총 1,254MW가 선정되…
supportsUtility PPA · South Korea 2026 H1 Offshore Wind Auction (fixed-bottom general + public-led + floating)
Trade press8
[2]
Offshore Wind Biz2025-11◆ CIP Presses Ahead with 1.5 GW Floating W…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
[3]
Offshore Wind Biz2024-10◆ Three More Floating Offshore Wind Projec…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsStatusConnection point
[4]
Offshore Wind Biz2024-07◆ CIP's 1.5 GW Korean Floating Wind Projec…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsConsentCommercial operationSite rights
[5]
Copenhagen Offshore Partners2025
“Copenhagen Offshore Partners (COP), a world leader in development and construction of offshore wind projects, is leading development for the Haewoori Offshore Wind project on behalf of the project's o…”
supportsoperator
[6]
GEM2026
supportsFoundationCoordinates
[7]
Ocean Energy Resources2025
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
[8]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
[9]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacityFoundationWater depthCoordinates