Agnes Romagna 1
Located 22 km off Lido di Classe, near Ravenna. Combined with Romagna 2, the Agnes hub totals 600-700 MW of wind.
Status
Early Developmentlifecycle stage
ProspectiveHafrok completion outlook
Location
ItalyAdriatic Sea
Technology
Capacity
200 MW ◆
Turbines
25 × 8 MW ◆
Foundation
—
Site & conditions
Site rights
Application filed 2024-07 ◆
Water depth
21–26 m ≈
Distance from shore
22 km ◆
Wind speed
5.6 m/s @ 100 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
Other ◆
Grid
No agreement ◆
Connection
Grid connection solution identified with Terna (per developer) ◆
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · announced
2032 ◆
COD · Hafrok
2034 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2034
expected year of commercial operation
The developer says 2032; Hafrok expects 2034 — 2 years later.
Chance of delivery
≈61%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Early Development projects complete ≈61% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2033 | 14.1% |
| 2034 (expected) | 28.0% |
| 2035 | 22.7% |
| 2036 | 14.6% |
| 2037 | 8.7% |
| 2038 | 5.1% |
| 2039 | 3.1% |
| 2040 | 1.8% |
| 2041 | 1.1% |
| 2042 | 0.7% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
No dated milestone yet
Nothing is consented or financed with a date, so the estimate starts from today (
2026), adds the time similar projects (in developing offshore-wind markets) took from consent to operation, plus an allowance for obtaining consent.2
Earliest credible date
Typical consent-to-operation time plus allowances means commercial operation before
2034 is not credible.3
Still needs an offtake award: IT-FER2-OFFSHORE
The project has no offtake contract yet. The next visible auction is around
2027 Q3; winners typically reach final investment decision about 2 years after an award (2029 Q3), then build time on top gives 2032 Q3. The milestone timing is already later than that, so it stands.4
Result
Expected commercial operation
2034, likely range 2034–2039 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). With no milestone to build from, the earliest credible date is the estimate, with a deliberately wide range.5
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
6
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Early Development projects that went on to complete — ≈61%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). About three in four early-stage projects with a final outcome went on to operate — a record from an easier era. Most of today's early pipeline is still unresolved, so the estimate discounts it. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈61%, which rates it
Prospective on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record
JV formation · 2020-08
AGNES · Saipem · Qintx Holding stake not disclosed
- Stake
- not disclosed
- Consideration
- not disclosed
- Announced
- 2020-08
- Project stage
- early development
AGNES S.r.l. (a Ravenna-based offshore wind developer), Saipem S.p.A. (the offshore engineering and construction group), and Qintx Holding (formerly QINT'X, Italian renewable energy developer) formalised a joint venture in July 2022 to co-develop the AGNES Romagna offshore energy hub in the Adriatic Sea off the coast of Ravenna, Emilia-Romagna. The hub comprises Agnes Romagna 1 (200 MW) and Agnes Romagna 2 (400 MW), totalling 600 MW of fixed-bottom offshore wind, plus integrated floating solar (100 MWp), power-to-hydrogen, and battery storage elements. Each of the three partners holds a 33.33% stake. An initial MOU between AGNES/Qintx and Saipem was reported in 2020; the formal JV agreement and concession application were submitted in 2022. Deal value undisclosed. Italy's offshore wind regulatory framework (PNIEC, maritime concession procedures) was still being established at this time; the project is in early development/ planning stage. Capacity shown is the combined Romagna 1 + 2 wind capacity (600 MW); the full hub has additional 300 MW-equivalent of solar/storage/hydrogen elements.
Evidence
- saipem.com — Saipem, protagonist in offshore wind, will develop a wind farm in Italy ↗ 2022-07 ◆ held
- offshoreWIND.biz — Ramboll Contracted on Italian Project Combining Offshore Wind, Floating Solar and Power-to-X ↗ 2022-07 ◆ held
- powerinfotoday.com — Saipem, AGNES and QINT'X sign MOU to build 450MW offshore wind farm in Italy ↗ 2022-07 ◆ held
From Hafrok’s transactions record
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. Ownership lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
Awaiting FER 2 auction. Offshore wind excluded from 2025 FER2 decree; no auction held as of mid-2026. ◇
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
Italy first dedicated offshore auction (FER2 offshore contingent) ◇
stated by industry at Seanergy (May 2026) after informal MASE–Commission talks — strike-price revision by end-2026, auction "at the latest in 2027"; no MASE notice
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageEarly Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2032
Construction ports
PortPort of Ravenna ~25km ◆
Sources & verification
10/16 fields verified · rests on 10 sources (2 primary) · ◆ 2 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator1
[3]
MASE (Ministero dell'Ambiente e della Sicurezza Energetica)2024-07-10◆ "Hub Energetico Agnes Romagna 1 e 2". - …
“Hub Energetico Agnes Romagna 1 e 2 — Decreto DM_2024-0000221 del 10/07/2024 — Esito: Positivo con prescrizioni/raccomandazioni — Procedura: Conclusa”
supportsConsentSite rightsConsent applied
Operator1
[1]
AGNES S.p.A.2024-03
“The wind farm, spanning a total area of 85 km², will consist of 25 wind turbines, each with a capacity of 8 MW, a height of 170 meters, and a rotor diameter of 260 meters. [...] approximately 12 miles…”
supportsTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacityStatusConnection point+2 more
Auction pipeline1
[11]
reNEWS2026-05-20◆ renews-seanergy-fer2-strike-2026-05
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsItaly first dedicated offshore auction (FER2 offshore contingent)
Trade press7
[2]
[4]
Ravenna & Dintorni2025-05-09
“L'investimento Agnes vale in totale due miliardi di euro, già dotato di Valutazione di Impatto Ambientale, in attesa solo dell'autorizzazione unica, e in grado di soddisfare il fabbisogno energetico, …”
supportsCommercial operationMechanismDetailOfftake history
[6]
[7]
Power Technology2024
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsowner
[8]
[9]
[10]