Hafrok

EolMed Gruissan

Status
Under Constructionlifecycle stage
DeliveringHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
Qair ◆
TotalEnergies — 20% ◆
BIBW Ideol — 5% ◆
Location
France
Mediterranean Sea
Verification
4/16 fields verified
10 sources · ◆ 4 documents held
◆verified≈modelled◇sourced∴inferred·derived
open the source register →
Technology
Capacity 30 MW ◇ Turbines 3 × 10 MW ◇ Model Vestas V164 10-0 ◇ Foundation Floating ◇
Site & conditions
Site rights Seabed rights held ∴
Origination France floating wind pilot tenders (ADEME) · 2016 ·
Water depth 53–60 m ≈ Distance from shore 18 km ◇ Wind speed 9.9 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake FiT · €240/MWh ◆
Grid —
Schedule
FID Mar 2022 ◆ COD · announced 2026 ◇
COD · Hafrok 2026 expected

Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects

2026
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈98% estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Under Construction projects complete ≈97% of the time on Hafrok's record. A secured offtake contract lifts this one slightly; a market with a thinner delivery record and technical complexity pull a little the other way.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
20%40%60%80%100% 2026: 86.7% (conditional on completion) 2027: 13.3% (conditional on completion)202420252026now87%2027 Developer-announced COD: 2026 — in line with Hafrok’s expected year ANNOUNCED = EXPECTED 2026developer cod guidance2023-04-26: the developer guided 2024 — source [7] — click for it2023-042024 [7]2025-09-22: the developer guided 2025 — source [8] — click for it2025-092025 [8]
COD probability by year, conditional on completion
YearProbability
2026 (expected)86.7%
202713.3%
Developer COD guidance, by the date it was stated
StatedAnnounced COD
2023-04-262024
2025-09-222025
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Construction start in 2023. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (floating, in developing offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.
2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of 2027; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2026, the slower quarter not until 2027.
3
Result
Expected commercial operation 2026, likely range 2026–2027 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.
4
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
5
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Under Construction projects that went on to complete — ≈97%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Based on the measured record — all 257 construction starts with a final outcome reached operation — adjusted down for projects still mid-build and for legal-challenge risk. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈98%, which rates it Delivering on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).

Project timeline & ownership verified milestones on the spine · ownership from Hafrok’s transactions record

2017’18’19’20’21’22’23’24’25’26Developer-announced COD: 2026 announced COD 2026France floating wind pilot tenders (ADEME) — awarded to Qair (ex-Quadran)France floating wind pilot tenders (ADEME) Jul 2016 · auction recordView the source for Consent grantedConsent granted Feb 2021 ◆View the source for Final investment decisionFinal investment decision Mar 2022 ◆View the sources for Construction startConstruction start Apr 2023 ◆Commercial operation 2026 ·Hafrok expectedFrance floating wind pilot tenders (ADEME) — awarded to Qair (ex-Quadran) 2016-07 ORIGINATIONTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDTransfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. UNRECORDEDTODAYQair · developer Qair QairTotalEnergies — 20% today TotalEnergies TotalEnergies 20%BW Ideol — 5% today BW Ideol BW Ideol 5%France floating wind pilot tenders (ADEME) — awarded to Qair (ex-Quadran) Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed. Transfer(s) not in Hafrok's record — shown as a gap, never guessed.
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD. The teal diamond on the spine is origination — the seabed award or round that created the project. Every other ownership event lives in the band below: one station per recorded deal, dated at its label, in deal order rather than to calendar scale. Secondary trades appear only at the interchanges; grey lines are parties whose entry or exit Hafrok’s record does not hold.
Announced COD: slipped so far +1.0 yr (first announced 2024) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above

Revenue & offtake the regime the project was built under

Offtake regime on record
RegimeADEME EolFlo 2015 floating-pilot call: guaranteed purchase tariff EUR 240/MWh for 20 years, with benefit-sharing with the State (arrêté April 2020) InstrumentFiT
A built project sells its power under the contract or support regime it was financed with; it is not expected to bid into new government offtake rounds. Where the record does not yet name that regime, the row says so rather than guessing.

Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers

Installation under way
no satellite count yet: this farm is outside the tracker’s coverage so far
Installation · on record
StageUnder Construction
Offshore constructionstarted
Expected start of operation2026

Sources & verification

4/16 fields verified · rests on 10 sources (2 primary) · ◆ 4 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Operator5
[1]
Qair2025
supportsConstruction startCommercial operationTotal capacity
source ↗
[2]
Qair (EolMed)2025
supportsTurbinesModelUnit capacityFoundationDistance from shore
source ↗
[5]
BW Ideol2021-12-01
“BW Ideol acquires 5% ownership in 30 MW EolMed floating wind pilot project (France)... in 2020, TotalEnergies Renewables acquired a 20% ownership in the project.”
supportsdeveloperowner
source ↗
[9]
ADEME (via Commission nationale du débat public)2020◆ Zoom sur les fermes pilotes issues de l'…
“Pour les fermes pilotes, le tarif de rachat est de 240 €/MWh [...] une aide au fonctionnement sous la forme d'un tarif d'achat garanti de l'électricité pendant 20 ans avec partage des bénéfices avec l…”
supportsMechanismStrike / priceDetail
source ↗
[10]
DGEC — Ministère de la Transition écologique (eoliennesenmer.fr)2026-08-25◆ French Eoliennes en mer register (DGEC),…
“Register node 863 (node--type-project) at /facades-maritimes-en-france/facade-mediterranee/gruissan — title 'Gruissan'; page text 559 chars, hash fb018c2f0318f586…. Identifying text: La ferme pilote d…”
supportsRegister entry
source ↗
Trade press5
[3]
The Wind Power2026
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCoordinates
source ↗
[4]
GEBCO Compilation Group2020
supportsWater depth
source ↗
[6]
DTU Wind Energy / World Bank (Global Wind Atlas)2026
supportsMean wind speed
source ↗
[7]
Offshore Wind (offshorewind.biz)2023-04-26◆ 30 MW French Floating Offshore Wind Proj…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsConsentFinal investment decisionConstruction startConsent granted
source ↗
[8]
Offshore Wind (offshorewind.biz)2025-09-22◆ 30 MW French Floating Wind Farm Enters F…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCOD history
source ↗