Hiiumaa
Stalled after maritime plan annulled.
Status
On Holdlifecycle stage
FragileHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
EGEnefit Green — 100% ◇
Location
EstoniaBaltic Sea
Technology
Capacity
1,100 MW ◇
Turbines
—
Foundation
—
Site & conditions
Site rights
Not established we have not found a document granting or refusing rights over this seabed — a gap in our research, not a finding about the project ∅
Water depth
14–85 m ≈
Distance from shore
12 km ◇
Wind speed
9.6 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
—
Grid
—
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · Hafrok
—
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
—
on hold — no credible date; the chart shows when a restarted project might complete
Chance of delivery
≈12%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Projects put on hold complete ≈15% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits below that: a market with no delivery record yet, its size, technical complexity and no offtake contract yet. Only a restart would change that — there is no dated schedule to judge against.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2033 | 20.0% |
| 2034 | 20.0% |
| 2035 | 20.0% |
| 2036 | 20.0% |
| 2037 | 20.0% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
On hold — no dated schedule
The project is recorded as On Hold, so no sequence of milestones can be trusted. Hafrok publishes no expected year; the chart instead spreads the remaining chance of completion over the years a restarted project might finish in.
2
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of On Hold projects that went on to complete — ≈15%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Historically only a minority of projects put on hold returned to delivery — the estimate reflects that. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈12%, which rates it
Fragile on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Next visible round · from the auction calendar
ELWIND (Estonia-Latvia joint project) rights auction ◇
indicative
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageOn Hold
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operationnot stated
Sources & verification
0/10 fields verified · rests on 6 sources
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Auction pipeline1
[6]
ELWIND (Estonia/Latvia)2026
ELWIND (EE-LV, up to 1 GW) — rights to be auctioned 2026 after studies/permits; CEF co-funded.
supportsELWIND (Estonia-Latvia joint project) rights auction
Trade press5
[1]
offshoreWIND.biz2024
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsownerTotal capacity
[2]
[3]
4C Offshore2026
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsCoordinates
[4]
[5]