Lillebælt Syd
Open-door project located in the Little Belt between Als and Helnaes (Funen). 11 turbines at 256m height. Very nearshore (~3km from Als).
Status
On Holdlifecycle stage
FragileHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
SOSONFOR ◆
EUEuropean Energy ◆
Location
DenmarkBaltic Sea
Technology
Capacity
165 MW ◆
Turbines
11 × 15 MW ◇
Foundation
Monopile ◇
Site & conditions
Site rights
Seabed rights held 2024-11 ◆
Water depth
16–25 m ≈
Distance from shore
3 km ◇
Wind speed
9.6 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
—
Grid
Secured ◆
Connection
Grid connection licence (net-tilslutningstilladelse) granted by … ◆
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · Hafrok
—
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
—
on hold — no credible date; the chart shows when a restarted project might complete
Chance of delivery
≈15%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Projects put on hold complete ≈15% of the time on Hafrok's record. Technical complexity and no offtake contract yet pull this one slightly below that. Only a restart would change that — there is no dated schedule to judge against.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2030 | 20.0% |
| 2031 | 20.0% |
| 2032 | 20.0% |
| 2033 | 20.0% |
| 2034 | 20.0% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
On hold — no dated schedule
The project is recorded as On Hold, so no sequence of milestones can be trusted. Hafrok publishes no expected year; the chart instead spreads the remaining chance of completion over the years a restarted project might finish in.
2
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of On Hold projects that went on to complete — ≈15%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Historically only a minority of projects put on hold returned to delivery — the estimate reflects that. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈15%, which rates it
Fragile on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026).
Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
Open-door (wholesale market or PPA — no signed contract as of 2026-06-15) ◇
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageOn Hold
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operationnot stated
Sources & verification
5/15 fields verified · rests on 13 sources (7 primary) · ◆ 6 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator1
[3]
Energistyrelsen (Danish Energy Agency)2024-11-28◆ Energistyrelsen giver tilladelse til at …
“Energistyrelsen udsteder etableringstilladelse til Lillebælt Syd Vindmøllepark. Projektet omfatter opstilling af 11 havvindmøller placeret i Lillebælt mellem Als og Helnæs, og vil have en samlet kapac…”
supportsConsentSite rightsTotal capacityConsent granted
Operator4
[7]
[9]
[15]
SONFOR2026-08-20◆ SONFOR går på jagt efter ny partner til …
“SONFOR overtager aktiemajoriteten i selskabet bag Lillebælt Syd Vindmøllepark og igangsætter en undersøgelse af mulighederne for at videreføre projektet med en ny driftspartner. Udmeldingen kommer eft…”
supportsdeveloper
[16]
SONFOR2026-08-21◆ Køb af aktiemajoriteten i Lillebælt Vind…
“SONFOR har i dag på en ekstraordinær generalforsamling fået godkendelse til at overtage aktiemajoriteten i selskabet bag Lillebælt Syd Vindmøllepark. [...] Ændringen i ejerstrukturen betyder, at der n…”
supportsdeveloperowner
Auction pipeline1
[18]
Danish Energy Agency (Energistyrelsen)2025-11◆ dea-3-tenders-2025
DEA — Nordsøen Syd, >=1,000 MW, bid deadline autumn 2028.
supportsNordsøen Syd (North Sea South)
Trade press6
[10]
offshoreWIND.biz2024-11
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTurbinesTotal capacityFoundationDistance from shore
[11]
4C Offshore2025
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTotal capacity
[12]
[13]
[14]
[17]
offshoreWIND.biz2026-08-21◆ Danish utility seeks new partner as tota…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsdeveloperowner
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsTurbinesUnit capacityTotal capacityFoundationDistance from shore+1 more