Sopros do RS
Off Rio Grande do Sul coast. Part of TotalEnergies 9 GW Brazil portfolio.
Status
On Holdlifecycle stage
FragileHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
TotalEnergies — 100% ◇Location
BrazilSouthwest Atlantic
Technology
Capacity
3,000 MW ◇
Turbines
—
Foundation
—
Site & conditions
Site rights
Application filed Environmental licence application · 2022-02 ◆
Water depth
71–97 m ≈
Wind speed
9.5 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
—
Grid
—
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · announced
2033 ○
COD · Hafrok
—
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
—
on hold — no credible date; the chart shows when a restarted project might complete
The developer's last guidance was 2033 · not treated as a schedule while the project is on hold
Chance of delivery
≈11%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Projects put on hold complete ≈15% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits below that: a market with no delivery record yet, a very large build, technical complexity and no offtake contract yet. Only a restart would change that — there is no dated schedule to judge against.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2030 | 20.0% |
| 2031 | 20.0% |
| 2032 | 20.0% |
| 2033 | 20.0% |
| 2034 | 20.0% |
How Hafrok got this date
1
On hold — no dated schedule
The project is recorded as On Hold, so no sequence of milestones can be trusted. Hafrok publishes no expected year; the chart instead spreads the remaining chance of completion over the years a restarted project might finish in.
2
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of On Hold projects that went on to complete — ≈15%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Historically only a minority of projects put on hold returned to delivery — the estimate reflects that. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈11%, which rates it
Fragile on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageOn Hold
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2033
Sources & verification
1/9 fields verified · rests on 7 sources · ◆ 2 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator1
[7]
IBAMA (Diretoria de Licenciamento Ambiental)2025-03-10◆ Complexos Eolicos Offshore - projetos co…
“Table 'Complexos Eolicos Offshore - projetos com processo de licenciamento ambiental tramitando no Ibama' (atualizado em 10/03/2025): RS-11 - Sopros do Rio Grande do Sul. Empreendedor: TOTALENERGIES P…”
supportsSite rights
Trade press5
[2]
4C Offshore2024
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsoperator
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
Unverified import1
[1]
unknown◆ TotalEnergies has 9GW of offshore wind f…
Press report — cited, not quoted; read it at the source link.
supportsConsentCommercial operationTotal capacityWater depthCoordinates