IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A
Originally part of larger 2 GW IJmuiden Ver Gamma zone, split into Gamma-A (east) and Gamma-B (west) of 1 GW each in September 2024 to reduce financial risk.
Status
Advanced Developmentlifecycle stage
ExpectedHafrok completion outlook
Ownership
—
Location
NetherlandsNorth Sea
Technology
Capacity
1,000 MW ◇
Turbines
—
Foundation
—
Site & conditions
Site rights
State-designated IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A ∴
Water depth
22–31 m ≈
Distance from shore
53 km ◇
Wind speed
10.0 m/s @ 150 m ≈
Revenue & grid
Offtake
Other ◆
Grid
No agreement ◇
Connection
TenneT 2 GW HVDC platform (525 kV DC) planned for the IJmuiden … ◇
Schedule
FID
Not taken
COD · announced
2032 ◇
COD · Hafrok
2032 expected
Delivery outlook modelled by Hafrok · calibrated on delivered projects
2032
expected year of commercial operation
Chance of delivery
≈73%
estimated chance this project reaches commercial operation
Advanced Development projects complete ≈75% of the time on Hafrok's record. This one sits below that: its size and technical complexity. A secured offtake contract helps only slightly.
COD outlook
If it completes, when — Hafrok’s probability by year (teal) · the developer’s COD guidance, by date stated (ink)
| Year | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2031 | 3.9% |
| 2032 (expected) | 50.2% |
| 2033 | 29.5% |
| 2034 | 10.6% |
| 2035 | 3.8% |
| 2036 | 1.4% |
| 2037 | 0.6% |
| Stated | Announced COD |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | 2031 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2032 |
How Hafrok got this date
1
Starting point: the last dated milestone
Consent granted in
2025. From there Hafrok adds how long similar projects (in established offshore-wind markets) took to reach commercial operation, measured on projects that have delivered.2
Typical timing
Starting point plus the typical remaining time gives a middle estimate of
2029; the faster quarter of similar projects would be done by 2027, the slower quarter not until 2030.3
Still needs an offtake award: NL-IJMUIDEN-VER-GAMMA-A
The project has no offtake contract yet. The next visible auction is around
2026 Q4; winners typically reach final investment decision about 2 years after an award (2028 Q4), then build time on top gives 2031 Q4. That is later than the milestone timing, so the auction sets the date.4
Result
Expected commercial operation
2032, likely range 2032–2033 (the middle half of outcomes for similar projects). The developer's announced date falls inside that likely range, so the announced date is adopted.5
Year-by-year chart
The bars spread that estimate across years using how similar projects actually slipped against their dates — more often late than early, which is why the bars lean right.
6
Chance of delivery — separate from timing
Start from the share of Advanced Development projects that went on to complete — ≈75%, measured on Hafrok's record of delivered and abandoned projects, with an allowance held back where that record cannot yet speak (projects still unresolved, changed market conditions). Consented projects have historically completed at very high rates, but the 2023–25 downturn showed consented-but-unfinanced projects can still fail — the estimate holds back for the offtake and financing gates still ahead. Then adjust for this project's own evidence — offtake, market, size, technical complexity — to ≈73%, which rates it
Expected on Hafrok's four-step delivery scale (Delivering · Expected · Prospective · Fragile).Project timeline verified milestones only — each date carries its provenance mark
Dashed tick marks today (9 Sep 2026). The ▲ below the spine is the developer-announced COD.
Announced COD: slipped so far +1.0 yr (first announced 2031) · the full guidance history is in the delivery chart above
Revenue & offtake route to market — open
No offtake secured — route to market open
TOWOZ (Tijdelijk Ondersteuningsmechanisme Windenergie Op Zee) temporary subsidy scheme. Maximum subsidy for Gamma-A raised to EUR 0.117/kWh (from EUR 0.104/kWh). Combined subsidy budget for Gamma-A and Gamma-B raised to EUR 9.456 billion (from EUR 7.896 billion). Applications open 26 November - 10 December 2026; subsidy decisions and permits expected Q1 2027. ◇
The routes describe what exists in this market — not a prediction of which the project will take. Timing math for the auction gate lives in the delivery outlook above.
Installation how the build is going · from satellite counts and Hafrok’s registers
Installation not started
nothing to count yet: the satellite tracker begins when offshore construction does
Installation · on record
StageAdvanced Development
Offshore constructionnot started
Expected start of operation2032
Construction ports
PortPort of IJmuiden (~65 km) ◇·quay 580 m · draft 12.5 m
Grid connection
from Hafrok’s substation, converter and cable registers
Offshore platforms · 1
HVDC systemIJmuiden Ver Gamma·2000 MW · ±525 kV · under construction, expected 2030
Export & onshore
Export cableIJmuiden Ver Gamma Export Cable·HVDC subsea · 165 km · NKT · ordered · to Maasvlakte, Port of Rotterdam
Onshore connectionAmaliahaven Substation (Maasvlakte)·380 kV · under construction · also serves IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 1 (Zeevonk), IJmuiden Ver Beta Phase 2 (Zeevonk), IJmuiden Ver Gamma-B, Nederwiek II
Onshore connectionMaasvlakte Converter Station (IJmuiden Ver Gamma)·525 DC / 380 AC kV · under construction · also serves IJmuiden Ver Gamma-B
Converter supplierGE Vernova·IJmuiden Ver Gamma · Seatrium (Singapore + Batam, Indonesia) · for TenneT
Grid connection · ready in time?
when each part of the grid connection is due, against the start date the developer states (black line) and the year Hafrok expects (teal band) · a bar spans the whole year, quarter or month the source gives
installed or in serviceexpected deliveryearlier date that was later moved
Sources & verification
1/14 fields verified · rests on 10 sources (3 primary) · ◆ 6 documents held
◆Verified≈Modelled◇Sourced∴Inferred⌁Convention○Unverified∅No source·Derived
Numbers are stable citation ids — grouped by source class, so they are not consecutive.
Regulator3
[3]
Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO)2026◆ Permit for IJmuiden Ver Wind Farm Site G…
"Capacity: Approximately 1 gigawatt (GW). Location: North Sea, roughly 53 kilometers west of the Dutch coast. Site area: 129 square kilometres. Opening soon for application — permit applications expec…
supportsConsentTotal capacityDistance from shoreCoordinatesConsent granted
[8]
Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO)2026-06-22◆ Subsidie voor windparken op zee omhoog v…
“IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A : van € 0,104 naar € 0,117 per kWh ... Het totale budget voor de windparken IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A en Gamma-B stijgt zo van € 7,896 miljard naar € 9,456 miljard. ... Ontwikkelaars k…”
supportsCommercial operationMechanismDetailOfftake history
[9]
RVO — Bureau Energieprojecten (energietransitie.nl)2026-08-23◆ Dutch Bureau Energieprojecten register (…
“Listing row "Wind op zee - IJmuiden Ver kavels Gamma-A en Gamma-B" (key wind-op-zee-ijmuiden-ver-kavels-gamma-en-gamma-b); offshore docket page text hash 193d6b6f24eb9f4c… (6178 chars).”
supportsRegister entry
Operator1
[5]
Staatscourant (Dutch Government Gazette)2024◆ Staatscourant 2024, 38321 | Overheid.nl …
“Kavel Gamma (ca. 2 GW) gesplitst in twee kavels: kavel IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A en kavel IJmuiden Ver Gamma-B. Beide kavels bieden ruimte voor een windpark met een totaal geïnstalleerd vermogen van [1 GW …”
supportsTotal capacityStatusConnection point
Auction pipeline1
[10]
RVO2026◆ rvo-gamma-a-2026
RVO — IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A (~1 GW) permit applications open September 2026; subsidy-backed, EUR 104/MWh cap.
supportsIJmuiden Ver Gamma-A
Trade press5
[1]
[2]
[4]
NedZero2025◆ Nederwiek I-A tender scheme
“The cabinet has decided to phase the tenders for IJmuiden Ver Gamma-A and Gamma-B (2x 1 GW). This will lead to delays for these plots and thus additional costs. In September 2024, the Ministry of Clim…”
supportsTotal capacity
[6]
[7]